Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78abfc43175aa33233ae44899b15dfc7ae461047dc1961f4d578bd23f439749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 51c | 219,196$112,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,460.7 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 43c | 129,874$55,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,664.22 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed No | 43c | 117,208$50,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,808.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 56c | 27,078$15,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,021.46 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 59c | 23,699$13,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,982.42 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 40c | 17,949$7,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,796.3 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…f346backed Yes | 61c | 16,479$10,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,014.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 59c | 9,772$5,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.53 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 61c | 6,839$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.96 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 64c | 6,649$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.46 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 37c | 4,881$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.11 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…bc54backed Yes | 54c | 4,645$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…4676backed Yes | 55c | 4,359$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 59c | 3,876$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Yes | 59c | 3,670$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Yes | 60c | 3,640$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes | 40c | 3,090$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 63c | 3,069$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 63c | 2,930$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.13 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc3…f2a0backed Yes | 45c | 2,689$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 41c | 2,496$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.78 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 43c | 2,202$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.98 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Yes | 60c | 2,100$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 59c | 1,776$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 39c | 1,746$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.41 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 23c | 1,734$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…7c26backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…3fb8backed Yes | 60c | 1,633$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,470$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…db43backed Yes | 59c | 1,432$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…4c84backed Yes | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 59c | 1,262$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 39c | 1,238$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.79 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…ec44backed Yes | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 52c | 1,118$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.73 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 40c | 1,100$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 41c | 1,095$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.52 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 40c | 1,069$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.86 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked No | 42c | 1,064$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 57c | 1,048$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Yes | 59c | 965.93$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 38c | 885.18$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.81 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976d…54c6backed Yes | 61c | 866.33$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 52c | 786$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.55 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 45c | 777$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Yes | 58c | 732.32$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…f7aebacked Yes | 59c | 731.47$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…09f1backed No | 43c | 722.6$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf84…2494backed Yes | 59c | 720.34$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 59c | 707.95$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…d663backed Yes | 26c | 688.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 63c | 649.14$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.23 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…2683backed Yes | 62c | 641.45$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…b99cbacked Yes | 38c | 614.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…deb3backed Yes | 60c | 612.16$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 38c | 599.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.97 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 62c | 585.4$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 27c | 549.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…836dbacked No | 44c | 530$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 58c | 501.63$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…9964backed Yes | 61c | 459.61$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 32c | 452.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…becebacked Yes | 45c | 445.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 45c | 435.65$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 59c | 425.72$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…9799backed Yes | 50c | 399.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 59c | 376.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed Yes | 61c | 359.51$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…5bb0backed No | 74c | 355.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Yes | 57c | 347.86$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Yes | 59c | 337.05$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 62c | 332.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Yes | 57c | 324.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 49c | 308.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…2cffbacked Yes | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 59c | 301.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 59c | 300.05$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.72 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.