Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b9bdaebecd94ed7f6382f51624ab5b777ff184799ad9bf0dadecdf4f31a185f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 58c | 6,443$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.62 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,553$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.8 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 1c | 5,187$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 55c | 3,924$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.81 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 17c | 3,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 19c | 2,742$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.47 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 2,036$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.42 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 16c | 1,680$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 18c | 1,169$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 37c | 826.74$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 18c | 700.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 27c | 694.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 19c | 666$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 13c | 617.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…cdb6backed Yes | 21c | 486.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…d37abacked Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 22c | 371.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 10c | 337.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 19c | 291.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 41c | 250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 18c | 219.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…d101backed Yes | 53c | 187.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 17c | 175$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked No | 69c | 152.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…008cbacked Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…8d98backed Yes | 19c | 121.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 102.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 74c | 99.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 20c | 81.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bc…b53fbacked Yes | 19c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 19c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…8f41backed Yes | 20c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked No | 45c | 57.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Yes | 37c | 55.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…d230backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed No | 63c | 45.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed No | 68c | 29.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…4763backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…a6bdbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 55c | 18.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…4b06backed No | 63c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.