Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ee4be5c69de0f36d0de2690f0851205fb577c68472f1caa2c665aa437df5e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 59,998$20,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,764.44 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 46,448$31,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,040.86 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 33c | 29,872$9,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,847.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 68c | 22,517$15,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,332.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 37c | 10,670$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.07 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 34c | 10,629$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 42c | 9,018$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.77 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 33c | 8,938$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 67c | 6,670$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 33c | 5,428$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.63 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 67c | 5,370$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 67c | 5,225$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 41c | 4,945$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.61 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 33c | 3,365$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.17 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 32c | 3,362$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.71 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 35c | 3,241$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.64 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 71c | 3,127$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…4f76backed Yes | 67c | 2,963$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 68c | 2,954$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.41 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 33c | 2,516$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.12 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 67c | 2,494$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 68c | 2,395$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.22 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 64c | 2,107$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 35c | 1,743$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 67c | 1,638$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 66c | 1,550$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 66c | 1,505$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.82 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 68c | 1,481$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.68 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,471$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 34c | 1,465$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.59 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 29c | 1,439$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,380$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 56c | 1,306$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.53 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 71c | 1,111$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 35c | 1,084$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1,085.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Yes | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 46c | 1,004$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 66c | 888.57$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.05 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes | 68c | 866.57$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 33c | 839.06$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Yes | 66c | 830.08$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 27c | 800$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 33c | 776.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 75c | 757.66$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 67c | 746.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 50c | 739.31$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 711.85$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 69c | 705.16$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…1652backed Yes | 71c | 704.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 32c | 699.94$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 45c | 673.21$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 32c | 659.25$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 32c | 624.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 68c | 617.65$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 33c | 599.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…eff7backed Yes | 67c | 575.9$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 68c | 568.01$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 67c | 533.11$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 514.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.13 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…859abacked Yes | 68c | 502.94$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 68c | 485.29$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…675fbacked Yes | 67c | 485.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 35c | 472$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 43c | 471.19$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 68c | 461.02$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 32c | 457.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 68c | 430.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…52e0backed Yes | 67c | 388.69$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 70c | 385.71$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 65c | 384.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b73…5763backed Yes | 70c | 380.84$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…0cbcbacked Yes | 62c | 368.19$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199e…fa60backed Yes | 48c | 365.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 66c | 354.47$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 59c | 337.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e43dbacked Yes | 26c | 323.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +173%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 68c | 294.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Genoa win on 2025-10-05?No won
- Will Napoli vs. Genoa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.