World Politics · resolved market
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xead601f91addd1755226f3848e74bf243d184076d23cbf1941072a27f0421020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 8c | 37,974$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.61 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 22c | 28,007$6,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,102.74 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 10c | 25,141$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.09 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…8201backed Yes | 4c | 22,943$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…762abacked Yes | 3c | 21,785$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…039dbacked Yes | 2c | 18,764$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 18,239$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 17,072$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.51 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 3c | 16,057$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 39c | 15,921$6,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,268 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…45fcbacked Yes | 13c | 12,581$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed Yes | 16c | 11,781$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.37 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed Yes | 4c | 11,530$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…ed12backed Yes | 11c | 9,972$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…fff1backed Yes | 25c | 9,556$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…bc49backed Yes | 10c | 7,999$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.26 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5f47backed Yes | 11c | 7,204$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 7,041$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.29 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c1…4952backed Yes | 38c | 6,643$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…3a48backed Yes | 24c | 6,461$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 4c | 6,450$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…4c7abacked Yes | 19c | 6,318$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752b…466bbacked Yes | 14c | 6,067$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Yes | 9c | 5,529$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…7ecdbacked Yes | 23c | 5,392$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Yes | 6c | 5,388$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…296bbacked Yes | 8c | 5,349$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cac…deb0backed Yes | 4c | 5,290$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 19c | 5,234$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 35c | 5,210$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.01 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f6…5883backed Yes | 0c | 4,903$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…49c6backed Yes | 8c | 4,752$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…e3a0backed Yes | 4c | 4,500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…5be5backed Yes | 13c | 4,493$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9df…23d2backed Yes | 6c | 4,024$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 20c | 3,836$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.5 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 2c | 3,734$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…f140backed No | 79c | 3,714$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e10backed Yes | 8c | 3,542$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…ee11backed Yes | 6c | 3,404$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes | 10c | 3,312$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.82 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 42c | 3,302$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.52 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…d323backed Yes | 13c | 3,253$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…11a8backed No | 60c | 3,220$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,183$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…e12bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,168$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…e891backed Yes | 17c | 3,121$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…e0efbacked Yes | 7c | 3,062$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…aecebacked Yes | 13c | 3,002$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.34 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 67c | 2,983$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.14 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 9c | 2,946$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…21a8backed Yes | 27c | 2,899$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…d2b7backed Yes | 19c | 2,628$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…2d40backed Yes | 29c | 2,461$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…7eacbacked Yes | 6c | 2,451$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…c1e3backed Yes | 2c | 2,240$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…0460backed Yes | 20c | 2,217$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.53 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae6…17cdbacked Yes | 27c | 2,177$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 10c | 2,100$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 7c | 2,059$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…07a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,944$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…708bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,943$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…affcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,908$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 23c | 1,877$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.74 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes | 10c | 1,876$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 26c | 1,862$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.45 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655f…0788backed Yes | 34c | 1,732$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,730$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…7074backed No | 75c | 1,727$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…fb3ebacked No | 61c | 1,704$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…fb94backed Yes | 7c | 1,656$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed Yes | 15c | 1,638$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.67 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 78c | 1,619$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.73 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 22c | 1,610$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 26c | 1,600$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 61c | 1,598$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +114%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…2c25backed Yes | 6c | 1,453$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaea…2438backed Yes | 20c | 1,333$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 13c | 1,296$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…729bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,273$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…14ccbacked Yes | 13c | 1,264$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…6bcfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 11c | 1,250$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…dc57backed No | 60c | 1,200$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7535…9375backed Yes | 11c | 1,188$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed Yes | 13c | 1,181$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…13f1backed Yes | 35c | 1,144$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…275abacked Yes | 8c | 1,126$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…f628backed Yes | 9c | 1,096$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…2a0bbacked No | 79c | 1,085$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…3ce8backed Yes | 17c | 1,056$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…a818backed Yes | 10c | 1,045$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…ca0dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,023$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…8151backed Yes | 11c | 1,020$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…7c46backed Yes | 31c | 1,017$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…4fd0backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…97f1backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?this page
- Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
- Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
- Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.