World Politics · resolved market
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9a4324f3e2269b6069daec1473eeb127859c72f9db70b3842d70fcb87c31dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $839,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $982,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 578 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 31c | 18,182$5,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,672.13 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b0…083ebacked Yes | 73c | 17,807$13,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…f844backed No | 9c | 17,514$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 54c | 13,449$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.63 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 0c | 8,533$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 48c | 7,889$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110.69 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 74c | 7,843$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…708bbacked No | 25c | 7,743$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…1228backed Yes | 74c | 7,725$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 13c | 7,661$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.39 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…af94backed No | 49c | 7,374$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 19c | 6,707$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…affcbacked No | 2c | 6,248$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked Yes | 61c | 5,861$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 18c | 5,489$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.47 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 58c | 5,477$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 72c | 5,289$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.13 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cac…deb0backed No | 5c | 5,184$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…dafcbacked Yes | 50c | 5,002$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…8eb1backed No | 50c | 5,002$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Yes | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 47c | 4,767$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.68 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…a4e3backed No | 6c | 4,591$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…0c53backed Yes | 71c | 4,412$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 45c | 3,973$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.03 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,759$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.08 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,662$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.98 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 13c | 3,326$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.32 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes | 48c | 3,149$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…e3a0backed No | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…d323backed No | 12c | 2,862$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…71e0backed Yes | 74c | 2,749$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…e7d5backed Yes | 56c | 2,616$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 65c | 2,603$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.92 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…2d40backed Yes | 53c | 2,600$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…13f1backed Yes | 80c | 2,319$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…9d22backed Yes | 59c | 2,253$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…faaabacked Yes | 68c | 2,250$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe560…11f0backed Yes | 45c | 2,101$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…c098backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.5 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…b00cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…83f6backed No | 50c | 1,960$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 42c | 1,951$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.39 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…45fcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,908$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 1,840$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.61 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed No | 9c | 1,831$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…34bdbacked No | 10c | 1,785$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 58c | 1,692$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.16 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66af…ffa9backed No | 19c | 1,688$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…4fd0backed Yes | 56c | 1,600$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…3a48backed Yes | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…f63cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,588$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…5be5backed No | 18c | 1,523$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…2429backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…b528backed Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…ee62backed No | 8c | 1,430$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed No | 12c | 1,419$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…7105backed No | 27c | 1,401$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5f47backed No | 12c | 1,400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 78c | 1,395$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 51c | 1,345$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.08 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 66c | 1,320$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…2792backed Yes | 45c | 1,277$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 20cpaid | +187%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 63c | 1,167$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.78 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…14ccbacked Yes | 77c | 1,152$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…489fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,137$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…729bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,125$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 33c | 1,120$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.55 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…ee11backed No | 8c | 1,100$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,080$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…4c7abacked Yes | 49c | 1,048$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e7…236bbacked No | 32c | 1,015$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…ce9fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…0e90backed No | 20c | 989.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 43c | 929.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.92 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed No | 28c | 919.18$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Yes | 49c | 910.16$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.16 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…9c10backed Yes | 60c | 908.65$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +66%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…4441backed Yes | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…e62dbacked Yes | 59c | 879.92$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d63…bfe1backed Yes | 56c | 871.65$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 47c | 853.83$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.53 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…584bbacked No | 10c | 847.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes | 48c | 821.33$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.96 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 14c | 794.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…021cbacked No | 19c | 769.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…8fcbbacked No | 22c | 767.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed Yes | 70c | 751$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…8e5cbacked Yes | 51c | 737.13$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 25cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Yes | 76c | 726.76$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…4754backed Yes | 55c | 720.45$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a67…a78ebacked Yes | 68c | 690.76$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…6bcfbacked Yes | 68c | 677.33$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 75c | 669.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114b…bdd8backed No | 30c | 669.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?this page
- Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
- Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
- Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
- Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.