World Politics · resolved market
Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338f3dbaf62410d41436035964b685840370d1f814cbafa1a1df44cd3f061d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $691,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 9c | 49,552$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.4 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed Yes | 4c | 36,463$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.61 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…296bbacked Yes | 1c | 28,910$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752b…466bbacked Yes | 3c | 22,613$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 6c | 18,379$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.61 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…e3a0backed Yes | 1c | 17,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…3d55backed Yes | 12c | 14,694$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 12,999$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.18 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 7c | 12,871$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 6c | 12,780$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.31 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…21bcbacked Yes | 3c | 12,197$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…bd0bbacked Yes | 2c | 11,703$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.56 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4498…e4bfbacked Yes | 5c | 10,336$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…ee11backed Yes | 1c | 8,845$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…3ad4backed Yes | 16c | 8,554$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…45fcbacked Yes | 8c | 8,190$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 19c | 7,380$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +454.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 0c | 7,250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 54 | 0%0 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Yes | 1c | 7,246$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…8fcbbacked Yes | 4c | 6,656$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…af94backed Yes | 11c | 5,327$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…3db0backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,850$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…71adbacked Yes | 6c | 4,473$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…d2b7backed Yes | 11c | 4,446$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…572cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,098$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93db…57a4backed Yes | 12c | 4,035$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…0460backed Yes | 3c | 3,608$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…2abdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,466$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e10backed Yes | 7c | 3,448$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 3c | 3,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…ee62backed Yes | 4c | 3,289$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed Yes | 6c | 3,283$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…021cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…a150backed Yes | 2c | 3,085$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…bc49backed Yes | 1c | 3,008$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,925$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -89%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…9e23backed Yes | 8c | 2,897$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…7340backed Yes | 7c | 2,810$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…1228backed Yes | 9c | 2,779$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.56 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…3a48backed Yes | 9c | 2,667$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…7161backed Yes | 4c | 2,667$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f1…a5bebacked Yes | 12c | 2,515$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…affcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,447$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…f421backed Yes | 11c | 2,360$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…c574backed Yes | 18c | 2,300$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 10c | 2,215$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3417…1ec9backed Yes | 3c | 2,156$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…ca0dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655f…0788backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…c098backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…47e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,975$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0d0ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,973$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,920$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,833$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…3ce8backed Yes | 9c | 1,823$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…0a5fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,813$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…566ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,722$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,619$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,503$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes | 9c | 1,476$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…ee9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,470$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6a…bc42backed Yes | 2c | 1,283$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes | 5c | 1,270$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…a8d9backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 8c | 1,232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8a…ca70backed Yes | 8c | 1,203$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 3c | 1,182$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…b479backed Yes | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…5be5backed Yes | 6c | 1,154$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46b…8bebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…59f0backed Yes | 9c | 1,103$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…0c28backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,059$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…c48ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…db7ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…ce9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes | 10c | 989.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…5996backed Yes | 10c | 972.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…19d2backed Yes | 10c | 911.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…1188backed Yes | 6c | 871.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 11c | 853.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…eeb7backed Yes | 4c | 837.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 2c | 832.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 14c | 824.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…c1ffbacked Yes | 12c | 812.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…4fd0backed Yes | 11c | 800$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7ed8backed Yes | 5c | 790$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed Yes | 9c | 778.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…a4e3backed Yes | 3c | 769.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…275abacked Yes | 7c | 768.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…aca9backed Yes | 6c | 754.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 21cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…4441backed Yes | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…c585backed Yes | 8c | 747$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…dad6backed Yes | 14c | 723.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 16c | 700$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 3c | 699$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?this page
- Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
- Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
- Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.