TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$560,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x039a…e3a0backed Yes0c54,694$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7980%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes3c47,811$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.34780%0 W · 78 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f6…5883backed Yes7c16,645$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67e…ca0dbacked Yes2c15,711$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.531127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10c5…264bbacked Yes2c15,004$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…8836backed Yes7c14,329$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d2…3093backed Yes1c13,715$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.77120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes5c10,258$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.91352.9%1 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-87.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-63.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222d…34bdbacked Yes3c8,949$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes2c8,943$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.791233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03c…45fcbacked Yes3c8,924$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.931618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c8,634$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.341,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c8,147$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.32128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-89%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0acc…8dbdbacked Yes1c6,736$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf371…9812backed Yes4c6,339$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.933619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes5c6,038$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc930…9ed4backed Yes2c5,754$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.26313.2%1 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-93.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a82…affcbacked Yes4c5,575$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb95…4b80backed Yes2c5,497$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c38…5f47backed Yes1c4,959$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7970%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b98…b26abacked Yes4c4,864$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad11…59f8backed Yes2c4,401$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fe…8d47backed Yes2c3,885$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.34425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…bc49backed Yes6c3,726$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.972714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x233f…051cbacked Yes1c3,572$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd289…584bbacked Yes4c3,474$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6463…af94backed Yes7c3,470$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.07825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c1…4952backed Yes3c3,012$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772a…6636backed Yes3c2,856$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes1c2,776$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.37786.4%5 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-77.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Yes5c2,737$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.611833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2af7…fb94backed Yes6c2,676$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x807a…2b5bbacked Yes4c2,534$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…71adbacked Yes3c2,384$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-77.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0f…275abacked Yes2c2,308$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac4…021cbacked Yes1c2,250$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.151250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes6c2,249$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.161717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4b…9006backed Yes5c2,216$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eec…3e10backed Yes4c2,204$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.12520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-47.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3612…bd3ebacked Yes3c2,108$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.762030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda08…2abdbacked Yes5c2,074$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…a4e3backed Yes4c2,071$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6470%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008632.6%28 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb7…c585backed Yes4c1,679$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes5c1,529$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4116612.7%21 W · 145 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08eb…ee62backed Yes2c1,521$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-87.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c4b…4382backed Yes2c1,377$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b65…36d3backed Yes8c1,363$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffa4…3ce8backed Yes5c1,330$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.18520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-70.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…7105backed Yes2c1,327$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c61…4e97backed Yes7c1,281$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0103…fc89backed Yes4c1,248$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x465c…db7ebacked Yes3c1,179$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.19922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-55.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb33…1fe7backed Yes10c1,163$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.172744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a6a…3573backed Yes3c1,150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54cb…a308backed Yes3c1,105$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd8…1228backed Yes3c1,100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-61.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes3c1,085$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.58195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-71.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae6…17cdbacked Yes5c1,065$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bdc…c574backed Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e7…21a8backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801540%6 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6da…7ed8backed Yes1c992.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2bf…8fcbbacked Yes2c956.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.171030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes2c935$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.518048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba7e…e542backed Yes3c923.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes6c901.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.67130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a71…954bbacked Yes5c853.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.281915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3e…5b00backed Yes3c782.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…0aebbacked Yes2c729.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cac…a464backed Yes3c719.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x710b…e12bbacked Yes4c709.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Yes3c700$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d4c…7849backed Yes3c624.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5102…eeb7backed Yes3c623.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedea…c37cbacked Yes5c599.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9e…d910backed Yes8c598.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1664…0e9ebacked Yes3c558.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…db0dbacked Yes5c555$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-38.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf598…388fbacked Yes6c549.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a84…785cbacked Yes10c497.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1481…a1fdbacked Yes5c428.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…ee9bbacked Yes5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d05…f421backed Yes12c392.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid-30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c35…c5b3backed Yes8c360.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-77.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4623…66c8backed Yes7c359.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2969…e520backed Yes6c343.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes5c342$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7350%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x247c…7ecdbacked Yes4c316.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…5813backed Yes7c288.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes6c274.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d4…07cebacked Yes7c260.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1950%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9df…7f77backed Yes7c254.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c5…00efbacked Yes7c204.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…bf62backed Yes6c193.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4513118.3%24 W · 107 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.