Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064364dd745641d83345476c4b474c67a578bc92aac19ac5ac78fd4ec6795414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,160,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,163,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Yes | 48c | 730,802$347,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347,830 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 570,496$297,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,584.47 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 52c | 69,138$35,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,186.62 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 53,053$27,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,594.99 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 52c | 33,444$17,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,158.35 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 53c | 30,555$16,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,360.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 52c | 29,584$15,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,080.59 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 56c | 25,499$14,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,179.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 50c | 18,987$9,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,511 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 48c | 14,583$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 10,306$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.92 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 47c | 10,289$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.88 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 59c | 9,610$5,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 7,835$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 52c | 7,775$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 48c | 6,680$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 51c | 6,520$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.08 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 54c | 5,900$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.94 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 47c | 5,848$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.86 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 47c | 5,846$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.12 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 47c | 4,967$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 53c | 4,852$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 4,831$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.99 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 55c | 4,639$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 52c | 4,456$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.85 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 48c | 4,318$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 48c | 4,206$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…db42backed Yes | 47c | 4,054$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 47c | 3,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 2,851$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.86 | 1,426 | 40.8%582 W · 844 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 44c | 2,620$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 45c | 2,207$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 44c | 2,204$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…1652backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed Yes | 54c | 2,018$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 56c | 1,999$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 1,928$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.98 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 52c | 1,837$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.67 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 54c | 1,620$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 41c | 1,609$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 48c | 1,553$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 49c | 1,537$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.14 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac4…abafbacked Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 11c | 1,483$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.73 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 47c | 1,369$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,339$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 56c | 1,321$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 46c | 1,250$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 1,238$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.07 | 233 | 60.5%141 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 56c | 1,003$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 53c | 1,000$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 47c | 989.84$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 48c | 975.36$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 36c | 950$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…fec6backed Yes | 47c | 949.32$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 16c | 902.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 899.19$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.29 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 47c | 826.29$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.36 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 62c | 806.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…234abacked Yes | 80c | 781$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 777$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 47c | 767.36$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…6842backed Yes | 53c | 709.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 57c | 708.95$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 58c | 690.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 44c | 674.17$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 44c | 633$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.61 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes | 50c | 606.07$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 45c | 599.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 41c | 587.8$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 55c | 576.56$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 66c | 573.06$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 48c | 521.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 520$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.