Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e741833a48119c33c10c2836e144efcd8d25b10a89888358959a6fa74d828e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 13,766$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.83 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 79c | 6,999$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.86 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 21c | 5,939$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.61 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 73c | 5,207$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.76 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 75c | 4,994$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.66 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 80c | 3,927$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.32 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 3,049$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.87 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 75c | 2,670$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 79c | 2,543$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 72c | 2,481$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.66 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 79c | 2,250$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 2,035$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.9 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 76c | 1,693$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.2 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 78c | 1,559$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 27c | 1,113$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 20c | 1,101$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 997.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.73 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 21c | 570$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 520$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 371.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 28c | 362.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 285.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 262.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed No | 80c | 227.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 74cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 77c | 218.87$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…2d65backed No | 80c | 214.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 27c | 214$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cc…8d59backed Yes | 22c | 135$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18b…4e0ebacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…02e7backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 23c | 119$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 27c | 113.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…e105backed No | 78c | 76.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…e492backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…aebdbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352e…2241backed No | 78c | 73.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 62.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed No | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…bbcbbacked No | 78c | 37.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…290cbacked No | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a29…5067backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 77cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…cadcbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…435dbacked No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.