Europa Conference League · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed9652d2e00a2b78cc69baa1bcbc7a6ca1560cf8377bdd9475a118d262f8327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 21c | 6,468$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.43 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…7314backed Under | 57c | 6,416$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 6,240$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.33 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 5,715$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 56c | 4,371$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 3,589$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.89 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 3,438$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.39 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 3,209$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.15 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Under | 55c | 2,959$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,579$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 64c | 2,082$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.44 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 44c | 1,933$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.37 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 21c | 1,617$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.37 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 1,425$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.49 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…b587backed Over | 43c | 1,410$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 43c | 1,389$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Over | 39c | 1,349$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.99 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…6ab1backed Over | 43c | 1,081$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 56c | 956.21$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 59c | 860.36$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.12 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked Over | 41c | 832.59$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 59c | 731.55$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 729.56$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.71 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Under | 2c | 680.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 22c | 654.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad9…77c2backed Over | 42c | 624.22$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 44c | 551.24$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.67 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 14c | 502.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 44c | 455$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 433.27$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…dbe0backed Under | 57c | 422.15$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 353.88$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 57c | 348.44$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 311.55$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.36 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 309.66$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 305.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 45c | 291.83$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 40c | 285.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 79c | 246.85$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 246.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 43c | 236.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 44c | 223.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…9c76backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 45c | 197.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 58c | 197.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 77c | 188.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 57c | 180.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 43c | 179.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 44c | 175.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…251abacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Under | 57c | 171.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 79c | 171.1$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 57c | 168.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 45c | 166$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 10c | 159.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 79c | 151.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 45c | 149.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Over | 28c | 147.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 33c | 143.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 57c | 136.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…5f02backed Over | 28c | 130$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 129.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 72c | 128.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 57c | 119.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 75c | 118.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Under | 63c | 117.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 115.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Over | 44c | 107.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 101.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Under | 57c | 99.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 22c | 96.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Under | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 87.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…faa4backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Under | 59c | 80.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 73.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…e85fbacked Under | 57c | 71.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 56c | 71.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 43c | 69.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 57c | 66.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Over | 43c | 66.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.