Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f49a004c854ada068c1ffe4cdd189433b698d258e2cb7f357f3e5b7203e6936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $779,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $783,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $779,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 48c | 153,099$73,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,082.72 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 52c | 130,482$68,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,024.25 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 48c | 91,601$43,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,632.72 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 52c | 67,871$35,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,227.91 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 48c | 47,929$23,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,923.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 47,232$24,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,798.84 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 48c | 44,823$21,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,431.41 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 48c | 35,416$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,416.32 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 33,615$15,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,823.98 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 50c | 32,044$16,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,089.6 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 48c | 31,591$15,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,336.68 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked No | 48c | 30,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,499.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 50c | 28,628$14,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,189.11 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 27,027$12,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,394.12 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 48c | 26,375$12,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,707.48 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 21,807$13,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270.17 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.96 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 53c | 15,695$8,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,318.46 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 52c | 13,704$7,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.08 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 67c | 11,006$7,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.58 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 47c | 9,000$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.88 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…db76backed No | 48c | 8,700$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 33c | 8,102$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.75 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 36c | 6,959$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 6,852$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.79 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 66c | 6,351$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 6,275$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.71 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 51c | 6,045$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 65c | 5,955$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.6 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f68…f736backed Yes | 52c | 5,924$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 49c | 5,258$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776e…b9b6backed Yes | 52c | 4,811$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cc…d980backed No | 49c | 4,800$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 22c | 4,480$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 48c | 4,454$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.65 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 77c | 4,400$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,304$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 3,073$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.23 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 70c | 2,943$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.03 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Yes | 53c | 2,861$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 53c | 2,550$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 2,478$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.63 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 26c | 2,464$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 47c | 2,462$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.07 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 23c | 2,431$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.32 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 47c | 2,425$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.3 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 46c | 2,420$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.63 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 49c | 2,407$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.54 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…70f1backed No | 49c | 2,402$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…332abacked Yes | 52c | 2,401$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…13d3backed Yes | 52c | 2,391$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…e6d2backed No | 49c | 2,390$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 34c | 2,389$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5a21backed Yes | 52c | 2,367$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…2b5dbacked No | 49c | 2,367$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…2523backed Yes | 52c | 2,366$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d85…43d8backed No | 49c | 2,366$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…23d3backed No | 49c | 2,363$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…f1e8backed Yes | 52c | 2,362$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…fe62backed Yes | 52c | 2,357$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…1e37backed No | 49c | 2,356$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…e35fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,336$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed No | 48c | 2,335$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…07babacked No | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…70edbacked Yes | 53c | 2,332$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 78c | 2,277$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.04 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 53c | 2,248$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 3c | 2,200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 53c | 2,170$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 54c | 2,136$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.49 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…f0bbbacked Yes | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…088abacked No | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 49c | 1,653$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 76c | 1,650$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.76 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 76c | 1,548$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 46c | 1,343$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 64c | 1,287$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.1 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,258$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 53c | 1,257$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Yes | 13c | 1,236$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +121%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,232$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…7ef8backed No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 69c | 1,178$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.81 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,178$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…7954backed No | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 3c | 1,036$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.