TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78d2…b978backed Yes0c16,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63fa…c7f8backed Yes26c6,157$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3b…4253backed No3c5,155$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf103…abebbacked No74c4,055$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes27c3,970$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0722638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6777…cae3backed Yes26c3,849$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf253…9baebacked No74c3,250$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8453100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+138.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85e0…e89fbacked No74c2,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No73c2,494$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.489450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No59c2,234$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.7751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No73c2,226$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.0310455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.032944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No73c1,954$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.343060%18 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-83.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes26c1,308$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.081656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes25c1,252$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31331655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No74c1,146$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes20c1,066$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No60c967.45$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.934454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes27c823.81$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4319336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No74c822.87$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9517958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No79c789.5$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes74c786.29$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.859450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Yes7c778.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes27c762.96$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No9c757.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.830666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes27c739.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes27c722.22$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes29c571.77$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2627024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a46…95fdbacked Yes31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402520%5 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc668…e830backed Yes26c488.7$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.62825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No49c482.05$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.4161441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No70c436.94$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5535758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No38c415$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5942043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No75c410$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead8…517abacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No8c382$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6625329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked No27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No70c355.67$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.728355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes26c345$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.71533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes29c341.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c339.53$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1544,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes30c331.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb03…59cabacked Yes31c322.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes27c288$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.762035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a2…033fbacked Yes79c279.14$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes25c240.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c230$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes26c211.44$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed Yes74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-56.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c197$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.136,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes39c164.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+57.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked No13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.851323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed No75c145.79$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7914252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Yes74c143.24$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes29c141.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes30c136.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb12b…f1dabacked Yes28c131.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.691030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes45c114.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes26c107.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.929238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed No27c105$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.051560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3d1…f279backed Yes73c102$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272030%6 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21da…db76backed Yes25c98.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b12…30d8backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2584…bfb1backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ea8…0877backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b7…393ebacked Yes27c75.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab1…66c5backed Yes29c72.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21170%0 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes26c69.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.034254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204727.7%13 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51e1…79cdbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a8…1f5cbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e13…e6ffbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-75%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes24c65.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.795653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ef…8044backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc9…3192backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc6…4ddebacked Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes28c49.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No75c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x164c…3e39backed Yes79c38.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.743161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.