Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc8bb0a055437bf1caf8fe97cb3b2f8e2bb6b05a1e79dc12c75f7d08abf519b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 12,875$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,293.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 77c | 9,172$7,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,062.43 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,695.65 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 22c | 8,202$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,421.49 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 59c | 5,806$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.86 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 29c | 5,771$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.36 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 5,104$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.01 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…033fbacked Yes | 76c | 5,015$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 4,360$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.25 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 32c | 3,921$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.95 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 47c | 3,625$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 23c | 3,615$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.3 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 73c | 2,730$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.12 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed No | 78c | 2,704$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 47c | 2,682$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.64 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 76c | 2,661$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 77c | 2,500$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.74 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked No | 78c | 2,190$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.99 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 25c | 1,927$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.61 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 61c | 1,802$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.22 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 51c | 1,622$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 53c | 1,576$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.97 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 52c | 1,539$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.14 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 52c | 1,491$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.91 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 9c | 1,110$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 78c | 1,050$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 50c | 975.86$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed No | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 55c | 855$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 29c | 830.27$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.49 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed No | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 50c | 806.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 79c | 752.59$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…68fcbacked No | 77c | 655$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 16c | 626.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.21 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 22c | 614.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 8c | 613.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.37 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…2accbacked Yes | 50c | 560.91$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 19c | 487.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.84 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 50c | 469.16$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 37c | 469$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…7818backed No | 79c | 455.7$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…05f0backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed No | 51c | 445.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 23c | 427.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.29 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes | 48c | 383.17$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 19c | 377.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.87 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 21c | 377.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 23c | 371.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked No | 79c | 297$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 22c | 293.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 24c | 288$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 79c | 286.08$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 272.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 64c | 264.86$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 77c | 258.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 79c | 257.44$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 51c | 255.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…99f6backed Yes | 22c | 254.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8752backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 47c | 240.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked No | 32c | 229.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 77c | 223.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…f357backed Yes | 22c | 222.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 54c | 220.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…ef0dbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…d5d8backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6bbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…ada1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…c236backed Yes | 33c | 186.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…a1efbacked Yes | 24c | 180$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 173.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed No | 63c | 167.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Yes | 64c | 156.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…b8f9backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…4ddebacked No | 49c | 149.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 48c | 148.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 145.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed No | 77c | 141.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.