Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-05?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57846e0c0b48955878ff7a8607c2d34894ff609b35fc06d9f882cab3a5d9656f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,605 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No	61c	19,585$11,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,637.96	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes	39c	12,000$4,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,680	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	62c	8,004$4,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,065.62	143	46.9%67 W · 76 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	24c	6,087$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,436.66	711	40.2%286 W · 425 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes	38c	2,713$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes	39c	2,654$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.16	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes	38c	2,500$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes	38c	2,443$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.44	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes	39c	2,271$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.6	232	50.9%118 W · 114 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes	39c	2,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.99	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	74c	1,446$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.78	1,916	45.5%872 W · 1,044 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	19c	1,028$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.2	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	117	35.9%42 W · 75 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No	61c	984.98$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.14	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	68c	853.27$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.93	356	50.6%180 W · 176 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No	61c	819.67$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.67	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8410…9713backed Yes	39c	781.47$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	38c	716.52$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.28	873	44.3%387 W · 486 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes	38c	643.84$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	61c	586.36$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.68	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes	40c	450$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	39c	300$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.6	260	41.9%109 W · 151 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	272	44.9%122 W · 150 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes	39c	300$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.71	304	48%146 W · 158 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	61c	283$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.37	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	39c	260$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	39c	225$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.75	233	42.5%99 W · 134 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes	39c	218$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.02	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes	40c	206$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.52	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Yes	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No	62c	198.45$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.41	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed No	78c	174.64$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.42	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	22c	167.39$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d22…5267backed Yes	28c	151.01$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	60c	136.48$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.14	380	56.6%215 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No	61c	130.36$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.84	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes	26c	117$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.71	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-46%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes	39c	115.38$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	28c	103.32$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.66	486	49%238 W · 248 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes	18c	94.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Yes	32c	93.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	21c	92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	246	42.3%104 W · 142 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yes	22c	84.32$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb7…8adcbacked Yes	40c	82.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.7wins	-0.26per pick	48cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes	39c	80$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	63c	64$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	181	55.2%100 W · 81 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed Yes	32c	63.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Yes	35c	62.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Yes	29c	62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.73	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No	61c	59.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.23	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	73c	53.89$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.63	159	51.6%82 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes	39c	51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No	62c	48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes	38c	47.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	42cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	30c	41.79$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	260	40.4%105 W · 155 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…9e76backed Yes	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes	40c	39.47$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No	63c	39.34$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	30	80%24 W · 6 L	+7.8wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xafcd…8014backed Yes	39c	39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No	71c	37$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.73	266	60.5%161 W · 105 L	+25.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffbb…7a04backed Yes	35c	33.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes	33c	32.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	178	17.4%31 W · 147 L	-16.2wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x025f…25cfbacked Yes	39c	32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	38c	32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	61c	31.85$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	146	54.1%79 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes	38c	30.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes	39c	30.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Yes	36c	30.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes	40c	27.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed No	62c	24.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No	60c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	106	43.4%46 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No	60c	20.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.99	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed No	62c	18.7$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.11	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-05?this page
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-05?No won
Will Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-05?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event