Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051d2256868e9c50163d722f77f265aa704c7788fb4087746e8c78a998dc0213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked No | 69c | 3,200$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 16c | 2,800$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.94 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed No | 2c | 1,620$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,484$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.51 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 31c | 1,365$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 13c | 1,352$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 18c | 1,233$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,048$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.34 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 1,047$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.82 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 69c | 1,005$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,004$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked No | 55c | 988.77$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 850.64$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.85 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 714.19$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.79 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 633.65$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.23 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 71c | 550.46$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 452.91$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 443.72$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed No | 33c | 349.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 14c | 303.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 181.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 69c | 168.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 166.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 164.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 36c | 162$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 146.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 141.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 126.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 69c | 111.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 31c | 109.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 108.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 69c | 89.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 86.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 29c | 76.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 58c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 51c | 59.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…0a62backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…b355backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed Yes | 44c | 45.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 38c | 42.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…efe1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 59c | 33.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 62c | 26.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…1001backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…6b3fbacked Yes | 70c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.