TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes30c25,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked No71c13,000$9,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,776.89714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-79.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No70c12,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6002853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa624…eb73backed No70c6,469$4,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes30c4,980$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.023250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c3,571$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10723250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c3,509$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7111916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c3,024$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No70c2,875$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.58254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c2,006$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.0287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked No70c1,715$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes31c1,654$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.76141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c1,611$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.531,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes30c1,501$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.38143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No71c1,407$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No69c1,342$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Yes27c1,325$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.11825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes29c1,178$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.567149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c1,151$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.985330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes29c1,007$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2be…66b0backed Yes19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes17c888.6$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.721735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No70c837.64$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.239458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c556.34$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3923342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c445.17$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7726041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c441.25$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.291,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c423.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No69c404.59$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.711729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No69c370$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.72352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes28c363.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.062437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No77c343.74$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7212556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes27c340.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes19c309.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1516224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No70c279.07$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.722458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c266.58$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No70c225.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.313360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes30c220.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2712647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Yes11c211.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c196.53$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No70c195.85$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.763568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c176.56$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No80c155.29$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes29c143$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No70c142$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.612147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes31c138.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.341560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No70c131.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.414050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes22c121.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.276342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked No74c108.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Yes28c104.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No70c88.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.814544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes30c86.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No71c79.48$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.052157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe103…9526backed No69c78.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No44c76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.561283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No70c75.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.663537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204139%16 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff41…387abacked No70c70.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0146450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes31c66.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.532825%7 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No71c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.72955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.224642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec7…8c25backed No70c41.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c40.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5415951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes31c38.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.081060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffbb…7a04backed Yes56c37.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c37.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.818155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.713145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.713865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No70c34.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.393655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed No51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.77850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.