Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eabfab331e97c2effec223d679fcbabf693e87fccd05916f084973ff4988f84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,264,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,332,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,264,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 973 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d9…305ebacked No | 53c | 823,703$433,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433,869.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 50c | 195,986$98,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,692.85 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 50c | 158,403$78,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,727.88 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 157,225$60,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,602.98 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 51c | 99,999$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,999.7 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 51c | 82,056$41,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,848.64 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 69,324$34,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,601.41 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 51c | 62,146$31,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,584.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 51c | 59,859$30,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,328.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 59,234$29,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,802.65 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 50c | 50,000$24,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,945.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 49c | 48,720$23,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,810.64 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 48c | 47,281$22,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,663.22 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 49c | 45,251$22,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,077.96 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 51c | 45,022$22,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,060.78 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 37,996$18,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,240.12 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 38c | 34,028$12,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,092.29 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 49c | 31,174$15,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,898.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Yes | 49c | 30,518$14,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,564.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,411.76 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 50c | 28,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 49c | 24,113$11,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,874.35 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 49c | 23,443$11,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,487.07 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 51c | 22,000$11,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,159.9 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 20,051$9,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,422.04 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,917.76 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 16,469$8,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,371.45 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 49c | 15,984$7,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,832.15 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 50c | 15,960$7,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 50c | 11,925$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,924.77 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 47c | 11,652$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,165.57 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 10,600$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 51c | 9,884$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d7…0501backed Yes | 50c | 9,859$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 9,849$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.69 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…f76ebacked Yes | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 51c | 9,225$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 49c | 9,222$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.7 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 41c | 8,825$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 8,449$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 51c | 8,160$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 50c | 8,078$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 50c | 6,760$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 49c | 5,700$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 48c | 5,072$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 50c | 5,034$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 49c | 4,583$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.15 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 42c | 4,444$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 50c | 4,292$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 48c | 4,115$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 49c | 3,958$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.31 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 3,930$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.53 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 39c | 3,845$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.2 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 52c | 3,811$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.81 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 49c | 3,599$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.41 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 50c | 3,541$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…989ebacked No | 52c | 3,173$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…3663backed Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 26c | 3,025$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 49c | 2,940$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 47c | 2,896$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.82 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ff…2df5backed Yes | 49c | 2,891$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 50c | 2,579$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.29 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 49c | 2,493$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked No | 51c | 2,305$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 45c | 2,286$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 49c | 2,239$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.64 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 29c | 2,200$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 39c | 2,167$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.18 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 50c | 2,166$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.81 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,155$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 47c | 2,131$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.67 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 48c | 2,098$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.67 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 49c | 2,081$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 51c | 2,059$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 51c | 2,044$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.44 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,003$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.69 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.97 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,986$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.