TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3a1…3529backed No72c72,346$52,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,256.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c35,094$9,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,826.2398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c29,981$10,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,407.122,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c25,368$7,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,149.3168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c10,436$8,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.9849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c10,323$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,343.071,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes76c7,498$5,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,670.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Yes64c5,680$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No60c4,829$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.2516838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No71c3,993$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.052867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes28c3,925$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.1340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No72c3,472$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.22683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes28c3,091$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.3422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed No33c3,028$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.091752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No71c2,597$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes41c2,118$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.995064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No30c1,733$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No41c1,706$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.3320431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No61c1,629$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes29c1,530$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.753534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes41c1,490$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes72c1,395$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes28c1,215$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa114…fdadbacked Yes40c1,163$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No72c900$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2524553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c876$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Yes47c863.77$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes40c664.9$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No32c644.95$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.578861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x03ea…c6f9backed Yes29c623.73$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e6…cebabacked Yes29c607.34$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7077…e6b7backed Yes29c607.29$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c576.09$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No74c533$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.422147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ca…6b6cbacked Yes29c465.85$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c452.53$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes32c437.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No25c433.42$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.114347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes51c432.57$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2192857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes29c404.6$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.333129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeece…b407backed Yes29c360.34$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…457bbacked No64c346.13$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c24…da3ebacked Yes29c323.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713e…f595backed Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No40c302.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.654136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes29c300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8621445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d6…8076backed Yes79c299.48$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes29c286.67$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes29c274$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.463828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes29c273.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.226046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e1…9601backed Yes30c253.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4962…8d15backed No72c230.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb169…bb17backed No72c225.03$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae4…5ae6backed No72c222.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82df…2265backed No72c221.34$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e4…8f38backed No72c217.49$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2350…570ebacked Yes79c215.79$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc3…a476backed Yes7c210.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Yes47c210.16$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd4…6632backed No72c204.74$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x020d…ffd5backed No72c204.49$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ee…9ac3backed No29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick29cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked No30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5819652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Yes29c196.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4817058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No72c190.36$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.562382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9859…7012backed No72c184.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+91.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a5…ad6fbacked No72c177.82$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…cb66backed No72c175.13$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Yes40c162.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…1ff2backed Yes62c161.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No31c159.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.744231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0151…adf6backed No72c159.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.63366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3644…98babacked No72c154.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No31c151.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.327347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c150.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…f0eabacked Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No48c146.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.936569.2%45 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No30c144.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10215259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.