TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$730,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$826,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd599…bf55backed Yes58c72,885$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,884.521346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c40,498$17,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,413.462,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No44c27,478$12,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,090.287139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes51c25,790$13,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,637.112553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c24,529$8,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,112.834,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c22,622$9,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,602.851,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c20,450$11,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,662.7330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c20,279$8,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5751,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No44c18,397$8,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,094.497455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No8c16,991$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.2329545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes53c14,400$7,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,831.178461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No43c14,368$6,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,19410539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No42c11,800$4,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.931060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes64c11,720$7,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.5290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes72c10,947$7,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.6560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.933925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No44c9,608$4,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,227.426357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No44c8,950$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9381764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes57c8,500$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,65515044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes52c7,726$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.539851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes57c6,318$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.7410848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5807719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c5,469$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.43,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1505058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No5c4,742$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.084621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.916640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5059058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No1c3,416$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.167424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No43c3,100$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No43c3,100$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3331855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9619255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No43c2,998$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.966243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes58c2,937$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.0815646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No43c2,756$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.082035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No43c2,697$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.693432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No43c2,622$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.616346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No43c2,310$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c2,232$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.1269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes59c2,185$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.8512944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e0…6cadbacked Yes58c2,069$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8406640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes57c1,926$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.7915246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No63c1,905$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9714067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed Yes57c1,900$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed6…1249backed Yes57c1,791$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No43c1,771$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.927851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.394540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No43c1,639$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.93540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae05…a67ebacked Yes57c1,493$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes57c1,456$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.925646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes58c1,376$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.8726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c1,328$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes57c1,304$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.863040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No43c1,300$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55911333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes57c1,290$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.75759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes57c1,237$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.774431.8%14 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Yes58c1,207$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes52c1,156$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.764748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes56c1,121$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.583946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes56c1,097$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.367241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6320148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c968.55$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7913045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.546061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes57c899.99$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3872748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabe0…7670backed Yes57c893.82$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.343145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc326…2ee1backed No6c852.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…ca5fbacked Yes57c760$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f6…6d5bbacked No44c740$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1d…f7e4backed No44c720$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes57c702.25$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30114244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf572…ffbebacked Yes57c690$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4053…91b9backed No44c690$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes56c682.18$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.162161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+75.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc0e…7d2dbacked No44c680$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8751…6de8backed Yes57c680$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c660.48$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.911,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…d8e2backed Yes57c650$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d8…59bcbacked Yes57c640$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0853…2ffcbacked No44c630$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes55c621.82$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.822369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35df…84d2backed No44c613.64$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…da3ebacked Yes57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked No42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcc…18e7backed Yes57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f2…1461backed Yes57c578.58$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf896…78abbacked No44c560$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3556…b80fbacked Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed No44c519$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.362748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked No44c518$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.922462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Yes63c511.49$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Yes56c511$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.84742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.