Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3c4614673a761f5ff713878cadfe67b91b5520af0a39b52765b72aec766e89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester City FCof Manchester City FC, Chelsea FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 81,777$23,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,838.24 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chelsea FC | 71c | 40,934$29,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,062.85 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chelsea FC | 71c | 33,177$23,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,649.04 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 10,966$7,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,652.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 7,446$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346.91 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chelsea FC | 72c | 6,376$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.57 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 4,358$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.88 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 3,417$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.34 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC | 72c | 3,329$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.48 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 2,362$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 2,311$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 2,099$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.54 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 2,005$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.56 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 1,879$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 1,819$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.53 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 1,388$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.31 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 1,371$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.64 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Chelsea FC | 72c | 1,366$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.2 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Chelsea FC | 73c | 1,356$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC | 24c | 1,307$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.38 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 1,247$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.58 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 1,196$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.12 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Chelsea FC | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 900$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Chelsea FC | 71c | 892.14$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 888.46$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 831.9$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.58 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Chelsea FC | 4c | 753.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 732.91$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.36 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chelsea FC | 79c | 666.63$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.63 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Manchester City FC | 29c | 660.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 632.17$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 621.92$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 593.35$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.75 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 577.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.77 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Chelsea FC | 71c | 557.79$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.61 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 546.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 495.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.6 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…835ebacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 479$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 444.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.84 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chelsea FC | 77c | 438.2$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.93 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Chelsea FC | 77c | 434.32$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.67 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Chelsea FC | 77c | 428.27$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.05 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 420$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 420$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 416.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.73 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e1…f4f9backed Manchester City FC | 78c | 407.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Chelsea FC | 73c | 380.67$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Chelsea FC | 70c | 370$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Manchester City FC | 32c | 354.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.63 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 329.64$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 307.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 304.83$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Chelsea FC | 73c | 302.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Chelsea FC | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 298.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Manchester City FC | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 262.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 260.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.58 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cd…a98dbacked Chelsea FC | 78c | 251.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 248.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.68 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Chelsea FC | 79c | 228.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Manchester City FC | 21c | 225.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.53 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 218.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chelsea FC | 79c | 212.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Manchester City FC | 18c | 211.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.26 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 203$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…a69fbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 195.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 194.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 191.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 186.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manchester City FC | 64c | 183.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Chelsea FC | 79c | 175.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Chelsea FC | 80c | 170.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Manchester City FC | 17c | 167.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 166.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 162.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…e25cbacked Manchester City FC | 31c | 155.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chelsea FC | 73c | 152.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Chelsea FC | 72c | 147.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 141.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…8adcbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 140.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa6…e929backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 134.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Chelsea FC | 78c | 126.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 124.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…8091backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 124.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…aad5backed Manchester City FC | 17c | 110.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.