TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,168,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,160,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,168,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91ee…c5b8backed No63c1,960,053$1,238,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,208.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes38c635,904$239,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239,591.5213353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes1c507,143$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes37c222,077$81,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,896.261942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes37c170,474$63,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,075.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes37c140,071$51,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,825.6724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes37c84,000$31,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,08011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes35c80,825$28,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,295.623548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c74,984$25,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,505.366,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes37c70,389$26,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,043.932657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes35c62,000$21,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,4001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes29c59,848$17,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,518.2591435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c51,308$18,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,984.142,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c40,956$15,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,186.282,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed Yes37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,800450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe566…9cc5backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes39c27,513$10,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,612.2319239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes38c26,300$9,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,994771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes1c22,084$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1927235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes37c21,620$7,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.485748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6994…9631backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.9931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c19,090$6,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,337.234,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes37c17,020$6,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,289.417745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes0c14,666$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes38c13,158$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes35c12,516$4,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.1359847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes32c11,493$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.21,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Yes0c10,050$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206368.3%43 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102020%4 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…4d7ebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6d…712cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No65c9,425$6,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,298.625552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes33c8,648$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.991,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes33c8,182$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9927141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes25c7,968$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes40c5,200$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0804450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c4,319$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.5940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcb…ced9backed Yes0c4,035$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes37c3,723$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.481,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c3,594$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.531,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3301060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes16c3,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9911828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes37c3,229$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20035941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes17c2,896$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes24c2,736$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.997050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b8…e0d5backed Yes1c2,510$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes38c2,500$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes33c2,400$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7925139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c2,304$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes22c2,304$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2716537%61 W · 104 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes32c2,208$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.759332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Yes39c2,100$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.025358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes39c1,917$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.632532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Yes1c1,775$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.685367.9%36 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+132.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes38c1,674$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No77c1,609$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes38c1,600$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes40c1,578$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes38c1,547$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.5233751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes37c1,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes37c1,418$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.5911652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes35c1,342$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.439042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Yes37c1,337$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.652245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes34c1,288$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9228456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f3…fb28backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes39c1,154$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes37c1,111$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0729250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Yes15c1,089$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.41560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3706446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34013554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Yes36c980.53$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.892548%12 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes37c945.95$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0622146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…8a28backed Yes37c918.92$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes20c899.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013921.6%30 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes33c894.82$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.55745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Yes38c865.68$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.126743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes37c842.45$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Yes19c831.87$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Yes39c827.51$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.152454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21df…1b1bbacked Yes40c823.02$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003959%23 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes37c724$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.889849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Yes37c703.88$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes35c693.44$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3318358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes23c669.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c649.19$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9756241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes39c632.9$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.697060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes18c577.44$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.