TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No66c16,233$10,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,771.297851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No0c14,666$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes38c10,746$4,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,634.4238649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c7,131$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.426,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c4,528$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.181,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes57c2,895$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.874,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c2,655$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.8676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c1,243$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.2885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No54c1,088$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.8420059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No39c1,072$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.227050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No56c1,060$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59457833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c956.97$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.9712233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes34c955$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.671,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.48949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes38c828.91$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.912951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0676…8a28backed Yes25c765.04$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.13540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c730.77$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7723632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes58c619.69$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed No56c533.04$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-58.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xac45…844fbacked Yes40c525$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes59c464.79$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.293522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No73c443.84$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3243161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c442.69$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c385.73$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c365.28$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2634564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c357$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0454128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c341.48$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b19…5dccbacked Yes42c321.81$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No50c295.48$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.537327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No75c277.55$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.167660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No47c277.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5611049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No36c276.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003852.6%20 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c265$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.88666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c258.2$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c246.47$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf117…cf8dbacked Yes40c237.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed No48c221.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c219.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2345224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.193357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.414727.7%13 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Yes63c170.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes29c168.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes27c166.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.679238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Yes29c155.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.171643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes40c149.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c146.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No72c138.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996560%39 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa2…9bffbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c19…55e8backed Yes51c130.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No63c129.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4527141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c119.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3522746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.453354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No66c101.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1836545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c100.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.81,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No25c99.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8412531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes69c97.96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0441956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765d…2e22backed Yes70c88.34$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No19c87.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0251516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c84.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.341,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9bc…a5babacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9965…7a82backed Yes28c78.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+255.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.926647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No61c75.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.834963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.977524%18 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.673647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.215444.8%69 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.821250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511850.8%60 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c55.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.092,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd69…91e4backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.575048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No71c49.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.494759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked No40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…8319backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.782842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes60c47.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2228859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Yes32c45.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.76944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes70c42.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6542862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes38c41.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9418358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x981f…b63fbacked Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…f8ddbacked Yes42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes59c39.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes40c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6924557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes60c32.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.116053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No73c32.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6511265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b78…2ee0backed Yes69c30.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36157.4%35 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes48c29.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.638441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205860.3%35 W · 23 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick75cpaid-18.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8351…3da2backed Yes49c26.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No52c25.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3522645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No71c25.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.124959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes62c23.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes61c23.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.