La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd11d07baeea9c938edf873e0a7496a1414c2f792e744d87e256804793b9e286f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $756,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $756,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 808 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 57c | 59,000$33,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,090.42 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Yes | 52c | 56,037$29,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,937.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 30,253$12,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,796.46 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 23,836$13,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,235.3 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 47c | 21,473$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,998.74 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 55c | 20,001$11,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 17,959$10,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,673.06 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes | 53c | 15,253$8,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,203.82 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 58c | 14,346$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,025.17 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 13,112$7,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,662.31 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…bf16backed Yes | 51c | 7,815$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 7,578$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.81 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Yes | 57c | 6,002$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 5,999$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.63 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 5,606$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.88 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 55c | 5,324$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.76 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 4,613$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.84 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…8faabacked No | 44c | 4,590$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 48c | 4,465$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…274cbacked Yes | 55c | 4,419$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 41c | 4,297$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.42 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…be7bbacked No | 45c | 4,222$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…9d3dbacked Yes | 55c | 4,141$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09c…0909backed No | 45c | 4,049$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.96 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 55c | 3,902$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…50c4backed Yes | 56c | 3,589$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 45c | 3,458$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd3…074fbacked Yes | 55c | 3,355$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 3,327$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.56 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f6…c914backed No | 44c | 3,325$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 44c | 3,177$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.89 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…270fbacked No | 45c | 3,099$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.98 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebd…e313backed Yes | 54c | 2,725$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccaf…0a29backed No | 46c | 2,719$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 59c | 2,598$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2113…e380backed Yes | 55c | 2,566$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…489fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,558$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c28…5298backed No | 45c | 2,542$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…82f3backed Yes | 55c | 2,541$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…472ebacked No | 45c | 2,540$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 42c | 2,519$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.52 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 45c | 2,449$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.05 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…724abacked No | 45c | 2,436$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…1aefbacked No | 45c | 2,434$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…6ba5backed Yes | 55c | 2,430$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd526…3528backed Yes | 55c | 2,407$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…cc5fbacked No | 45c | 2,406$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…8407backed No | 46c | 2,378$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…cbb2backed Yes | 55c | 2,370$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae6…94f1backed No | 45c | 2,361$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…59f1backed Yes | 54c | 2,356$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9992…f33abacked No | 45c | 2,348$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…b08abacked Yes | 55c | 2,339$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…6b49backed Yes | 55c | 2,332$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 54c | 2,315$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…8538backed No | 44c | 2,275$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc799…fcfebacked No | 45c | 2,260$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…48d5backed No | 45c | 2,259$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…def2backed No | 45c | 2,241$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…76acbacked Yes | 55c | 2,233$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 56c | 2,232$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.15 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…5431backed Yes | 55c | 2,232$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…a299backed Yes | 56c | 2,228$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…ec4ebacked Yes | 54c | 2,195$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fe…a661backed No | 46c | 2,194$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…1f4ebacked Yes | 55c | 2,183$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…9662backed No | 45c | 2,179$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…0c6fbacked No | 45c | 2,170$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea01…6520backed Yes | 55c | 2,162$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…db23backed Yes | 55c | 2,160$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…3f88backed Yes | 55c | 2,123$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…6eb9backed Yes | 55c | 2,123$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…122fbacked No | 44c | 2,121$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa778…dc08backed No | 45c | 2,103$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…e81bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,077$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…ea0fbacked No | 45c | 2,074$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…d634backed No | 45c | 2,064$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa006…6a1abacked No | 46c | 2,034$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…8bf7backed No | 45c | 2,026$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…220abacked Yes | 55c | 2,024$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…f9a1backed No | 45c | 2,012$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…3904backed Yes | 55c | 2,011$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…7846backed Yes | 54c | 2,009$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 43c | 2,000$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.93 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…f0c0backed Yes | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 42c | 1,990$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.64 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,987$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.7 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 1,965$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.28 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…e69ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,954$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…445dbacked No | 44c | 1,947$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…6e0dbacked No | 45c | 1,936$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.