TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c18,495$4,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.091,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No77c6,493$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.3912648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c5,062$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.261,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes13c4,860$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.912334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No63c3,900$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.332965.5%19 W · 10 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes22c3,484$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.527424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No74c2,064$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.647353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes23c1,904$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.959055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c1,538$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1160732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d6…9357backed Yes15c1,382$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…9134backed Yes15c1,354$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6702…0051backed No75c1,332$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes15c1,278$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea6…32d9backed No78c1,246$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes26c1,229$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3726930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c1,223$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.444,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…a2debacked Yes22c1,178$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No75c1,085$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5522552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce55…1796backed No74c1,084$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No76c1,046$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefc0…4942backed Yes17c940$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6537…fcecbacked Yes15c932$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7039…2d8abacked No74c834$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ba…e6cebacked No75c820$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd215…b4eebacked Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed Yes25c796$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked Yes25c792$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffa1…15bdbacked No74c745$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes25c731$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes17c729$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7270…add3backed Yes26c725$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes23c721$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…7572backed Yes26c693$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes23c690$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.715036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c676.98$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed No75c676$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e08…7e2ebacked Yes25c656$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f61…c03ebacked Yes25c641$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d09…42b7backed No75c633$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbc…d620backed Yes26c629$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb593…28eabacked No75c617$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes36c586.53$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21121641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a0…72f1backed Yes26c552$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.52560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab21…4b87backed No75c541$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd134…5558backed No74c518$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe153…6b4abacked Yes24c513$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes25c511$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb0…0d4cbacked No74c501$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes26c485$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…db2abacked No75c471$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29e2…6dc5backed Yes25c453$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Yes25c452$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes25c442$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes15c440$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f91…d531backed No78c434$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed No75c422$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed Yes25c419$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes26c413$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c411.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No78c401$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2235442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4901…8832backed Yes14c399.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed No74c395$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2eb…5751backed No75c391$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No64c388.17$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e8…ac57backed Yes15c378$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2756…42efbacked Yes25c366$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x319c…4a94backed No74c348$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72c…bbf0backed No75c341$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8433…6e0fbacked Yes26c332$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed Yes26c326$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e3…dbd4backed No75c326$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eaa…4456backed Yes25c311$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed No75c305$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes26c298$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4860%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes25c297$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc911…fa2bbacked No75c293$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e0…a63bbacked Yes22c282$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa05…a764backed No76c279.62$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.291553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+663.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x385f…3c30backed Yes25c277$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed No75c277$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes25c273$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No74c268$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde9…d705backed Yes25c254$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf100…2fcabacked Yes26c249$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No75c246$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes17c244$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.889347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes26c242$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabeb…7a78backed Yes26c242$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed No74c222$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…0d60backed Yes18c221$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No80c220$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+636.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x611f…1f84backed Yes25c217$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee2c…f08abacked Yes25c217$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb6…5ea0backed Yes25c216$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…bd71backed No75c216$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No75c212$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.