NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe40cedc3e30475abeab43bc910bf98c843b7152ee81f82f459a2cec7300ed56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 41,246$18,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,876.72 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 56c | 17,341$9,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,710.96 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 51c | 12,900$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.93 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Under | 45c | 10,931$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012.14 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 7,995$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…f85fbacked Over | 55c | 6,617$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 46c | 5,565$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.15 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 54c | 4,929$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.26 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,487$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 79c | 1,904$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.91 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 53c | 1,550$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,117$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 792.02$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.33 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 668.99$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 56c | 335.42$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 56c | 244.87$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 235.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Over | 58c | 173.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 44c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 104.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 101.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 98.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 80.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Under | 43c | 69.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 53.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 48.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Over | 54c | 46.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 55c | 19.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5this page
- Hawks vs. 76ersHawks won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Hawks won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.