NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fddf518c0ac6ed475187023b5b86a2d68b9f2a84eae731d13447d5dbf7eabad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 58c | 14,228$8,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,224.4 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 8,925$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 53c | 8,636$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.56 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 6,032$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 4,783$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 47c | 4,247$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.46 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 4,140$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.2 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 54c | 3,572$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 45c | 2,243$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.59 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 49c | 2,038$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Over | 53c | 1,897$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Over | 65c | 1,483$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,073$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.46 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 993.43$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.85 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 48c | 732.02$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.46 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 728.52$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.11 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 34c | 720.72$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.88 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 52c | 694.4$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 670.22$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 615$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.12 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 50c | 452.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.43 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 449$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 443.24$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 436$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 422.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 384$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 58c | 278.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 42c | 235$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over | 54c | 183.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 166.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 54c | 155$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 51c | 140.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 41c | 113.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 50c | 113.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 100.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 33c | 93.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x386a…f453backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 39c | 76.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 60c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…f649backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 70.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 64.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 55.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 55c | 53.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 43c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 48c | 45.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 42.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 46c | 42.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…42bbbacked Under | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 37c | 40.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 37.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…6f0ebacked Under | 46c | 31.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 42c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 59c | 29.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…357cbacked Over | 55c | 28.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…b0a0backed Over | 55c | 26.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Under | 52c | 24.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…8d65backed Under | 46c | 23.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…e345backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…e370backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5this page
- Hawks vs. 76ersHawks won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Hawks won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.