TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over54c30,893$16,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,552.0843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under46c30,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,199.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under45c20,000$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,099.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c12,731$6,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,920.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c8,592$4,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over53c8,582$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.4160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under46c7,596$3,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.8451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under42c5,861$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.8654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c5,792$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over56c5,078$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.7436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over58c3,697$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over56c2,514$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.6717554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over56c2,333$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30643453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under45c2,120$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16622143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c2,071$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.821,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c2,005$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c1,736$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.373,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7505945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over54c1,438$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.521,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c1,360$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under45c1,078$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.7817454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,058$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under44c1,050$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58831455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under46c1,050$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56771547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over57c799.95$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9726640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c599.98$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under45c519$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4547354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under52c500$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7113835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over54c424.36$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under43c284.95$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.421,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over56c241.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.721,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.568657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over57c212$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over54c171.44$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.341947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over54c147$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.891,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c124.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c116.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.593,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under50c110.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0726043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over57c106$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under55c105$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c104.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under45c104.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.292,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c102.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.281,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c2…6d84backed Under43c102.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.641650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4513…3449backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under39c80.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over56c80.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under50c79.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over54c73.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under62c72.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8939047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.673046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over55c66.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6732346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2636453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under43c58.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.711448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under43c57.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5714533.1%48 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010955%60 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over50c55.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8729352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c53.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.272,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c48.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Under42c45.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2211250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.882,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under45c43.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c40.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57eb…36b2backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2037665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over55c37.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over50c30.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3216052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over57c28.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3545460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d95…373fbacked Under50c28.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.382352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf3…3c57backed Over54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bde…237abacked Under46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.757251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x170f…790bbacked Over56c22.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.