TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof 76ers, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$559,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$563,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks52c244,017$126,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,190.5487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers48c178,840$85,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,84329650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hawks53c50,000$26,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,50048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked 76ers47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,50044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,20043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers49c39,000$18,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,959.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c2…722ebacked 76ers48c22,708$10,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,9001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hawks52c19,000$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,119.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers48c18,938$9,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,090.361,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked 76ers47c18,836$8,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,849.338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hawks53c16,510$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,760.0259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Hawks52c13,057$6,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,278.660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed 76ers48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Hawks51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.996546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks52c9,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers47c7,565$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked 76ers48c6,896$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,31037747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…c636backed 76ers50c5,547$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed 76ers48c5,421$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers47c5,197$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Hawks51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9810553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…37bbbacked Hawks50c4,930$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4651457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae8…937bbacked 76ers50c4,914$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe51…6797backed Hawks50c4,831$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hawks53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.9876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f9…ab2ebacked Hawks50c4,614$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…0941backed 76ers50c4,338$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…47bcbacked 76ers50c4,200$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…3a14backed Hawks50c4,055$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Hawks52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92012056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 76ers46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9933945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks52c3,869$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.121,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks58c3,825$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.653,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e5d…896ebacked Hawks50c3,616$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8084100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0b8…2ec9backed 76ers50c3,595$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0912…0ca1backed Hawks50c3,538$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7693100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Hawks53c3,503$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.523050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7861…2edfbacked Hawks50c3,289$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6a…117ebacked Hawks50c3,259$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e77…dd09backed Hawks50c3,249$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e8…3c6fbacked Hawks50c3,031$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x075e…8be7backed 76ers50c3,021$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…ed1cbacked Hawks50c3,016$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…201bbacked 76ers50c2,989$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88e0…289ebacked Hawks50c2,980$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc78…8139backed 76ers50c2,967$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa301…4097backed 76ers50c2,917$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.621,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f2…77f0backed Hawks50c2,878$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30f…dd8fbacked Hawks50c2,810$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084d…f312backed 76ers50c2,795$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae5f…bd62backed Hawks50c2,751$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d5…cd1dbacked Hawks50c2,663$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7f…c9edbacked 76ers50c2,642$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1fd…53b6backed 76ers50c2,627$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…4c07backed 76ers50c2,602$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…75b7backed 76ers50c2,586$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3816…cce8backed 76ers50c2,583$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick55cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks51c2,580$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef62…ce53backed 76ers50c2,564$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x123c…3bcdbacked 76ers50c2,552$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…746abacked Hawks50c2,532$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd70a…4e91backed Hawks50c2,478$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c7c…7635backed Hawks50c2,393$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd79…4741backed Hawks50c2,367$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51e…67a5backed 76ers50c2,347$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c17…8c72backed Hawks50c2,340$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc03…5bdebacked 76ers50c2,298$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe6…b0fbbacked Hawks50c2,217$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b39…1d06backed 76ers50c2,198$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38b1…f47bbacked Hawks50c2,165$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04af…606abacked 76ers50c2,150$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1138…67a9backed 76ers50c2,144$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…794ebacked 76ers50c2,131$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca7…9f28backed Hawks50c2,050$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a9…08a3backed 76ers50c2,014$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a47…0c54backed 76ers50c1,999$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.491833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6505…b9d4backed Hawks50c1,944$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6094…3d3ebacked Hawks50c1,943$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd8…9b8bbacked 76ers50c1,942$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e3…f383backed 76ers50c1,927$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c18…80d7backed 76ers50c1,890$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Hawks53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…20e7backed Hawks50c1,886$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Hawks53c1,878$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.3217241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb997…3fbabacked 76ers50c1,833$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9da2…6a64backed 76ers50c1,819$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b93…48bdbacked 76ers50c1,814$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x910e…159abacked Hawks50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf729…8a19backed Hawks50c1,782$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8913100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3029…aaf1backed Hawks50c1,781$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…b933backed 76ers50c1,779$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fe…393abacked 76ers50c1,750$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers48c1,719$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c4…baffbacked 76ers50c1,708$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaed…4595backed 76ers50c1,667$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52f…9932backed 76ers50c1,645$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa212…d602backed Hawks50c1,639$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.