NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c8c064d94a4fd0685e6899ea6178d3a6fd0d50d001f548e7173c34784f303c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 27,763$14,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,271.58 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 5,441$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 51c | 3,911$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 4c | 1,467$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,200$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 709.59$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 664.17$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 47c | 523.4$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 29c | 405.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 234.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 203.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 194.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 184$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 47c | 100.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Under | 78c | 61.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 48c | 51.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 50c | 48.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 53c | 46.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 45c | 41.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 34c | 33.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…6557backed Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5this page
- Hawks vs. 76ersHawks won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Hawks won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.