NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x669516b4c12cf6f96ca9c4c58b783a5bebf623befe21117215fed0a1c5c032b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof 76ers, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 46c | 1,993$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,405$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 43c | 1,057$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…f2c5backed 76ers | 42c | 1,003$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hawks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6646…0925backed Hawks | 58c | 998$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed 76ers | 47c | 957.17$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.3 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed 76ers | 42c | 572$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.81 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Hawks | 58c | 403.43$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Hawks | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Hawks | 58c | 274.63$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed 76ers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed 76ers | 42c | 140.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 29c | 123.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hawks | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked 76ers | 41c | 82.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Hawks | 58c | 68.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 76ers | 43c | 65.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers | 41c | 63.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Hawks | 67c | 59.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 76ers | 25c | 47.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed 76ers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers | 52c | 40.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hawks | 70c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed 76ers | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed 76ers | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…6dd5backed Hawks | 47c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed 76ers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked 76ers | 49c | 28.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed 76ers | 40c | 26.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Hawks | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Hawks | 54c | 23.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked Hawks | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked 76ers | 47c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Hawks | 50c | 22.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed 76ers | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 61c | 21.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked 76ers | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Hawks | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)this page
- Hawks vs. 76ersHawks won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Hawks won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.