TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2fe1…a6eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$20.23
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.79
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+70.5%+$7.85
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.32
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+170.3%+$27.72
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.73
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.06
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+95.2%+$32.18
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Suns vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 103.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+87.1%+$15.83
Rockets vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+79.8%+$27.96
Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-72.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+115.2%+$19.81
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+116.1%+$17.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46.16
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-17.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.06
Spread: Fordham Rams (-8.5)backed Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53.46
Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+194.1%+$20.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+124.7%+$28.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+57%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 16 above $390?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+39.1%+$6.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37.5%+$3.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.