Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x390fc64cd554c83c408b281a5db7dc9b60a6b2702e4bdf61c0de864ede643293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 55c | 2,385$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.16 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,681$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.1 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed No | 55c | 519.02$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 487.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 46c | 474.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 453.04$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.46 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 48c | 421.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 210.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 54c | 210.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 197$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 149.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 46c | 138.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed No | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 77c | 117.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Yes | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed No | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 55c | 50.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 38.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Yes | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 47c | 32.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…7d52backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 24.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Yes | 48c | 21.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 80c | 12.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.