TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Over52c27,923$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,5001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c20,314$9,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,553.2962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c5,634$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.6212839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under45c4,303$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.013557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under36c4,000$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Over49c3,490$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c3,304$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.11,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.999355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over52c2,400$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,796$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.91,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c1,640$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under48c1,569$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.113246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over65c1,564$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.61520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under49c1,427$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.6815048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c1,403$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.7848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over51c1,171$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1a…40b4backed Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c959$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over50c952$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c828.29$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c799.97$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Over53c696.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.622540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over52c678.09$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over61c650$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.53141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over29c650$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-84.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under49c599.65$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c572.38$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over54c556.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over21c540$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.43129%9 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29527244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c478.38$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9724052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under65c383.34$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.341573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over36c341.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.788333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over40c322$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.752934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under48c299.45$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5121143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over52c278.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under57c220.92$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8918360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over52c216$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.324856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over49c204.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…c25bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under32c192.79$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.113144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.585343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under32c161.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.112448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over53c158.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over52c106.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.565957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under42c90$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.953351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over58c86.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacd8…6633backed Under58c86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Over17c81.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over40c68.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.852630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Over22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+77.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c52.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.291747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under55c50.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.711266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.55044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over62c47.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9411256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under55c47.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.493138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ab…24c0backed Over51c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ec…86fbbacked Over45c44.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over52c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.627149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Under49c37.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+87.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ff…f376backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over69c34.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.721764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over54c31.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f2…b7bcbacked Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…de71backed Under49c30.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under54c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.884667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Over69c28.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x669b…6557backed Over51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under40c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.326755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe445…aef4backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d7…7c97backed Over52c21.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1810952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d4…651cbacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.