Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd142a5b6b0a689ee8da8a3be1dd0dc53ba2f82ba8f094068c26b1e571f3a6801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 37c | 6,834$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.08 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 62c | 4,177$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.94 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Team Liquid | 73c | 2,160$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.51 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked OG | 18c | 2,012$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.04 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked OG | 24c | 1,244$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.64 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,224$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 38c | 481.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed OG | 21c | 424.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 342.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 78c | 292.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Liquid | 64c | 264.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 257.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed OG | 38c | 253.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed Team Liquid | 66c | 227.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Team Liquid | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed OG | 28c | 172.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 153.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed Team Liquid | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 38c | 130.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked OG | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed OG | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked OG | 25c | 79.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…5687backed Team Liquid | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…6dd5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed OG | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Liquid | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Team Liquid | 62c | 55.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Team Liquid | 60c | 50.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked OG | 40c | 48.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…e662backed Team Liquid | 60c | 39.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Team Liquid | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Team Liquid | 53c | 37.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked OG | 40c | 36.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed OG | 39c | 35.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Team Liquid | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked OG | 42c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Team Liquid | 58c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…0574backed Team Liquid | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed OG | 38c | 30.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Team Liquid | 63c | 27.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Liquid | 57c | 27.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed OG | 39c | 26.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed OG | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…643dbacked OG | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked OG | 41c | 24.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Team Liquid | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed Team Liquid | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…4ee4backed Team Liquid | 78c | 18.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.