Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda95161397ec9e5293784d3b8650c992fa49a32ae28e8cf7b69a46105631a9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed OG | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.98 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid | 56c | 18,242$10,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,026.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 16,136$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,667.57 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 37c | 9,757$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.38 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 29c | 8,481$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.03 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Liquid | 49c | 8,169$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.34 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed OG | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 5c | 5,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 51c | 3,542$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.58 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 38c | 3,339$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.71 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked OG | 44c | 3,262$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.13 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 48c | 2,326$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.3 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 39c | 2,225$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.71 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 2,135$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.73 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 66c | 2,133$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.66 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed OG | 30c | 1,759$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.19 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,611$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.33 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked OG | 12c | 1,545$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed OG | 45c | 1,402$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,353$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.23 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 37c | 1,200$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.47 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed OG | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 47c | 1,025$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.93 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 36c | 1,023$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked OG | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid | 64c | 940$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed OG | 57c | 900.88$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Liquid | 61c | 810.61$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.96 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 67c | 755.41$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 580$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Team Liquid | 63c | 566.9$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.13 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Liquid | 56c | 530.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked OG | 44c | 511.84$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.21 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 49c | 459.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.18 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed OG | 43c | 452.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed OG | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 29c | 435.14$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked OG | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed OG | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid | 56c | 357.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Team Liquid | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed OG | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed OG | 42c | 295$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Team Liquid | 60c | 231.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…a747backed Team Liquid | 56c | 228.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid | 69c | 200.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Team Liquid | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Liquid | 73c | 191.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 186.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid | 69c | 177.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Team Liquid | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed Team Liquid | 58c | 160.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 157.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Team Liquid | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed OG | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Liquid | 78c | 128.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 111.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed OG | 52c | 96.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed OG | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…e9d9backed Team Liquid | 71c | 78.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Team Liquid | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed OG | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked OG | 41c | 63.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed OG | 43c | 61.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Liquid | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 26c | 54.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Liquid | 65c | 53.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed Team Liquid | 56c | 53.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked OG | 33c | 50.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Team Liquid | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Liquid | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 37.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed OG | 28c | 37.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked OG | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Liquid | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…5c35backed Team Liquid | 65c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed OG | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…d34bbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed OG | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Team Liquid | 56c | 21.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Team Liquid | 63c | 20.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Team Liquid | 60c | 19.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group ATeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.