TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed OG44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.9842650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid56c18,242$10,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,026.612259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid59c16,136$9,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,667.5755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed OG37c9,757$3,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,647.3833746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG29c8,481$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.032,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Liquid49c8,169$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.3415457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed OG44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64010445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG5c5,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed OG51c3,542$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.5866662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed OG38c3,339$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.711,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked OG44c3,262$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.1310342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed OG48c2,326$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.31,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG39c2,225$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.711,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid66c2,135$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.7317546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid66c2,133$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.6647660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed OG30c1,759$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.1916142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid62c1,611$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.335964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked OG12c1,545$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.455829.3%17 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed OG45c1,402$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Team Liquid60c1,353$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.236266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG37c1,200$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4781029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed OG43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG47c1,025$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.931,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG36c1,023$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.351,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked OG51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3854556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid64c940$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3406066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed OG57c900.88$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51041655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Team Liquid61c810.61$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9616058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid67c755.41$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.391,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Liquid60c580$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2328750.6%44 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Team Liquid63c566.9$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1310260.8%62 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Liquid56c530.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3611043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked OG44c511.84$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2129548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7521264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed OG49c459.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1859250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed OG43c452.39$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0326453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e41…b8d2backed OG12c450$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed OG29c435.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.191,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked OG5c400$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21303.3%1 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed OG27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid56c357.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.349053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f03…7551backed Team Liquid59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.982560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0e…eca9backed Team Liquid63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.464461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.961548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed OG35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed OG42c295$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9536054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b9…8267backed Team Liquid60c231.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.974969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe96d…a747backed Team Liquid56c228.7$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid69c200.41$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1333645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a5…caa6backed Team Liquid59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Team Liquid73c191.69$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1619664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Liquid64c186.46$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.464355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid69c177.14$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9192056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed Team Liquid56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.713240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ebd…2c43backed Team Liquid58c160.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.344245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid56c157.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Team Liquid65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.856550.8%33 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f72…adc6backed OG30c143.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.829047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Team Liquid74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147365.8%48 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Team Liquid78c128.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.487460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid49c111.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.222954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4158152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4453757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb8…6c31backed OG52c96.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked OG35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bef…be32backed OG38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013449.3%66 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe8…e9d9backed Team Liquid71c78.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.583360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Team Liquid69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed OG43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.14546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked OG41c63.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.879137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed OG43c61.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.45552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Liquid56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.447951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG26c54.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.992,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Team Liquid65c53.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8225255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Team Liquid56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5752649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ece…e3c8backed Team Liquid56c53.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked OG33c50.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.522654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed Team Liquid54c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Liquid56c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.512449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid60c39.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Liquid66c37.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0636761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed OG28c37.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.595318.9%10 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7546872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked OG32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011643.1%50 W · 66 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed Team Liquid64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2534152.2%178 W · 163 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a9…5c35backed Team Liquid65c30.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…2f2abacked Team Liquid55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.414134.8%49 W · 92 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed OG36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.879343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x214a…d34bbacked Team Liquid73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed OG44c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.583040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c1…1fc1backed Team Liquid56c21.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Team Liquid63c20.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81c7…8b51backed Team Liquid60c19.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.