Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd8394f7f81a72f21daff22879941b7e7e19537d87a25fa1e719d2dfb4b390f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Liquid | 78c | 44,209$34,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,805.08 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 30,000$19,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,912.2 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 24,722$14,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,046.94 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 47c | 20,911$9,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,736.74 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG | 36c | 20,464$7,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,367.2 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 17c | 18,939$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 36c | 7,500$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.33 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 33c | 6,007$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.65 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 40c | 5,376$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.78 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 36c | 5,000$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.33 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed OG | 29c | 4,371$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.14 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 35c | 3,999$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.16 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 32c | 3,820$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.9 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 38c | 3,418$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.66 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked OG | 5c | 2,920$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked OG | 36c | 2,833$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.88 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed OG | 43c | 2,331$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked OG | 35c | 2,136$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.98 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 30c | 1,601$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.36 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,591$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.52 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed OG | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,359$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed OG | 34c | 1,350$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 38c | 1,300$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.23 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed OG | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,132$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.44 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked OG | 34c | 1,088$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed OG | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 6c | 928.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 922.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed OG | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 64c | 816.28$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 66c | 804.55$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.55 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed OG | 13c | 779.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed OG | 36c | 700$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked OG | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 448.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Liquid | 68c | 442.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed OG | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked OG | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 372.38$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked OG | 7c | 303.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked OG | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Team Liquid | 67c | 299.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed OG | 26c | 295$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 30c | 287$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 19c | 270$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed OG | 38c | 264.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed OG | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…8276backed OG | 6c | 220$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked OG | 35c | 203.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked OG | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked OG | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked OG | 34c | 183$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 52c | 181.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Team Liquid | 69c | 170.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed OG | 67c | 163.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Liquid | 62c | 160.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed OG | 27c | 128$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed OG | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Team Liquid | 56c | 103.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Team Liquid | 62c | 101.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed OG | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed OG | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Team Liquid | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed Team Liquid | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Team Liquid | 54c | 93.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Team Liquid | 64c | 90.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Team Liquid | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc98…b902backed Team Liquid | 65c | 80.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…e9d9backed Team Liquid | 65c | 79.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…6ee5backed OG | 50c | 78.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked OG | 35c | 67.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked OG | 28c | 53.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked OG | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Team Liquid | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Liquid | 55c | 45.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed OG | 31c | 40.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Team Liquid | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Liquid | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Liquid | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked OG | 64c | 39.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Team Liquid | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Liquid | 64c | 31.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked OG | 47c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…00d8backed OG | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Liquid | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed OG | 36c | 28.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Team Liquid | 63c | 20.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…93c3backed Team Liquid | 66c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group ATeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.