Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26667eeecfa636fe57987cc5073ca2d6c8f9e862f5a9f26ab2ee22f59fcb25eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Connecticut Huskies, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Creighton Bluejays | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Connecticut Huskies | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 56c | 62.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Connecticut Huskies | 46c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Connecticut Huskies | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…6dd5backed Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed Connecticut Huskies | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-17.5)this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut HuskiesCreighton Bluejays won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 142.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-15.5)Creighton Bluejays won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-16.5)Creighton Bluejays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.