TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$660,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Over49c405,393$198,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207,255.522969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c92,132$46,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,066.018940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under51c80,000$40,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,9502138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under52c79,135$40,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,7592133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c61,086$31,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,083.414,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over50c36,884$18,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,441.766048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over48c32,044$15,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,662.7935442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c22,946$11,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,770.0469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed Under51c17,647$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over49c12,106$5,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,186.549640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.823557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under43c10,000$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.9730446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under51c9,921$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,059.718334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under52c9,626$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d7…0501backed Under51c9,032$4,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,606.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under52c7,702$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0053956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c7,644$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.042,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Under50c6,998$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.032166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under52c6,998$3,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.723540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c6,619$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.6920449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over50c4,575$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.6311345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over48c3,723$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c3,700$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under51c3,497$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under51c2,719$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c2,525$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.013,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c2,300$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c2,255$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.994434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.95927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under31c1,529$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over50c1,336$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6684663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over46c1,209$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.663246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c977.6$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.5835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Under50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under52c761.62$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0111354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under28c673.48$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.846950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over47c651.61$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5611331%35 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over55c631.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed Under52c615.39$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…facbbacked Over72c613.48$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c480.24$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c434.09$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.963053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over47c422.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.224942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under51c392.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c392$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9210450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under51c380.35$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8820245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x084e…71d6backed Over49c375.06$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under52c349.93$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.988155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c342.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.817458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Under51c330$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.33351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under51c325.53$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c308.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.781,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1211929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over48c211$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.722937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0878…1374backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over74c184.61$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4828446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over59c158.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.921,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over73c138.19$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c123.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3332145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under52c119.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2727850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4255…6dd5backed Under52c107$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd83…c0c2backed Over48c107$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over60c101$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.43467.6%23 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c100.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.130842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a60…6e83backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2513249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb06…e32bbacked Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-78.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c92.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.211,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under51c92.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under25c88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210153.5%54 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9510143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over49c78.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.921346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7633949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over68c72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.042638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6525…c12cbacked Over46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.