La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef2610b68f7dce7270b99408774ac6a566766785ba7f5f533eeca7dcd524a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 6,614$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.78 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 75c | 4,200$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 75c | 2,687$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.83 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 25c | 841.64$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 816.07$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 72c | 689$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 28c | 354.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 352.72$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 74c | 295$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 284.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 141.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 120.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…e32bbacked Under | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 97.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 25c | 84.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 74c | 81.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 75c | 74.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 25c | 56.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…9bdfbacked Over | 73c | 51.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 75c | 47.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 40.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 74c | 35.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 73c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 74c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5this page
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.