La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c242085081843b422fa57e00aa39490fade34c0dc35501bfecdc54423f12518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 26c | 3,103$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 74c | 2,687$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 54c | 2,395$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.71 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 15c | 1,557$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 12c | 1,249$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 967.87$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.19 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 18c | 569.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 12c | 521.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 13c | 489.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 486$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 408.51$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 13c | 294.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 13c | 244.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 164.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 19c | 120.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 35c | 94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 20c | 77.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 35c | 66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 24c | 45.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Under | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 43c | 41.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…8f5dbacked Over | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 31.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5this page
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.