TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Earnings · resolved market

Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$383,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Earnings
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x087e…51c5backed Yes0c11,446$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.083228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed No20c1,075$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.73724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3847…df89backed No43c1,045$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.925100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f0f…4f31backed No33c982.13$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.6635635.1%125 W · 231 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33df…337dbacked No38c943.53$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8edd…d943backed Yes62c532.09$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…6643backed No69c506.65$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6665100%65 W · 0 L+26.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+90.8%equal weight82+0.29 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No35c493.95$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.531816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…fa61backed Yes72c417.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a36…428fbacked No38c398$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfce…80c7backed Yes45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13534437.2%128 W · 216 L+22.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fe7…dbd6backed No22c218.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1530315.2%46 W · 257 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes57c209.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9876137.6%286 W · 475 L+35.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd70…caa4backed Yes55c205.04$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes77c199.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9967442.7%288 W · 386 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x044a…7e1fbacked Yes61c168.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes12c166$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.924912.2%6 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes62c161.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0b…3b99backed Yes62c150.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f8…0e43backed Yes68c149.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.153240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes60c132$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35c8…3170backed Yes78c127.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No44c124.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.325612.5%7 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b4…9518backed Yes63c118.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.141866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…2cbfbacked Yes59c101$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes62c99.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.993327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed No37c99.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafa5…a763backed No34c87.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+192.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked No39c87.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…43c5backed No45c86.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No40c84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.596927.5%19 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed No30c83.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c0…dac7backed No34c71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+147.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc484…4123backed Yes66c71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes63c70$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.159960.6%60 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Yes63c69.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No31c69.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7957939%226 W · 353 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d5…81f6backed No31c65.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+226.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca5…3bcabacked Yes77c64.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x766a…f4fabacked Yes63c62.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8461…c6e4backed No23c60.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.162420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625f…89a4backed No34c57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+145.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e74…68c1backed Yes66c57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e51…c2a3backed Yes80c55.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e8…c280backed No36c54.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2562…72a9backed No32c53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…8b21backed Yes68c53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.041127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes73c52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.961717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes64c51.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b30…2209backed Yes63c50.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked No35c50.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73116.1%5 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa294…52eabacked Yes69c50.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.522437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa778…7279backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93e0…a8d4backed Yes27c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e0e…4419backed No31c49.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4918751.3%96 W · 91 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…dcd6backed Yes77c49.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.492263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2400…922cbacked Yes76c49.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes66c49.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.984266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Yes62c48.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked No34c45.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes71c41.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.591566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes63c41.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.111936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2526…9f68backed Yes67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…7601backed Yes58c36.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.722045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5784…8d79backed No33c34.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8dd…a9a9backed Yes65c33.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc60…fdc5backed Yes60c33.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No37c33.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.929024.1%70 W · 220 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Yes66c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x874d…c888backed No34c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc93e…7195backed Yes65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3d…d8d1backed Yes67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1181…a251backed Yes66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…9c55backed Yes55c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed No68c29.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x520c…c42dbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Yes69c28.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb384…7f58backed No42c28.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd00…4fc0backed No54c26.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.963542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75b1…9b98backed Yes66c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cdb…fe95backed Yes73c24.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2c…eb18backed Yes70c22.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8837…4cf5backed Yes61c22.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes65c21.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1318941.3%78 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf64c…e897backed Yes69c21.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ace…0f16backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd83…c0c2backed Yes66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x343c…a9a4backed Yes61c19.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1e…8213backed Yes57c18.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.614829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd00b…8dd3backed Yes58c17.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b4…407ebacked Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3074…bae5backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.