TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc93e…7195

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Movies, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 62 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.76
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+229.1%+$51.59
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+314.3%+$483.51
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$136.67
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.04
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.18
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.12
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$48.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$122.2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+669.2%+$200.77
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+1,697.8%+$509.35
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+227.3%+$90.9
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-92%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of April 6 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$10.53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$95.25
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99.67
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick25cpaid+126.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69%+$75.38
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$125.47
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$64.95
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.44
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$114.33
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+256.4%+$51.28
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.29
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+1,032.4%+$206.48
Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+599.1%+$119.81
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.2%+$10.24
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+947.9%+$189.57
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+470.6%+$70.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$477.63
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.6
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$24.03
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+437.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+247.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+2,135.9%+$277.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+27.6%+$7.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.