Movies · resolved market
Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aef8f55dc37d520c72a3ab27c76b3d9912d6b2b169cd8b3b058616367abe779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 38c | 894$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Yes | 62c | 805$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…25febacked No | 56c | 628.12$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 16c | 509$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 431.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 62c | 427$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked No | 38c | 297$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 12c | 247.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 31c | 220.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…ccd9backed Yes | 31c | 193.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…68dcbacked No | 7c | 185.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +604.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…1015backed No | 65c | 178.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…085abacked No | 78c | 151.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189b…3fc8backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 139.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…7195backed No | 14c | 139.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…f283backed Yes | 39c | 138.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes | 38c | 130.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 51c | 128.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…b422backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…7588backed No | 67c | 98.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes | 62c | 89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 54c | 63.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Yes | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 40c | 47.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 33c | 42.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 43c | 27.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Yes | 41c | 24.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…ea07backed No | 58c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…6b18backed Yes | 75c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.