TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Earnings · resolved market

Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,803 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Earnings
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes17c10,000$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.9835635.1%125 W · 231 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed No79c5,672$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.839766%64 W · 33 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked Yes31c4,183$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.2347138.6%182 W · 289 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed No68c3,608$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b5…b465backed No74c2,386$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x701e…9013backed No23c2,333$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.892138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087e…51c5backed Yes23c1,787$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.623228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfce…80c7backed Yes22c1,700$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8734437.2%128 W · 216 L+22.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes21c1,364$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9930315.2%46 W · 257 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes25c1,266$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.352420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+18.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f63…6643backed No74c1,063$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.6465100%65 W · 0 L+26.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+90.8%equal weight82+0.29 edge/pick
0x7a36…428fbacked Yes23c1,000$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.871752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf6…8bc6backed No72c928.1$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.11291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick59cpaid+68%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x11ab…73bebacked No79c896$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597f…7502backed No79c814$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab6…3a89backed No75c686.03$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5882…387abacked No76c577.72$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes19c534.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6510740.2%43 W · 64 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc93e…7195backed Yes21c470.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd59f…14bebacked Yes20c430$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No75c402.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes35c338.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.812913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007f…233abacked No76c309.25$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f97…1f6fbacked Yes37c290$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520c…c42dbacked Yes22c276.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Yes20c274.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…a0b8backed Yes28c269$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.741070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…9281backed Yes31c250.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1e…8213backed Yes31c245.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.964829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed No70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0923…bd50backed Yes34c208.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe06f…b0dabacked Yes30c192$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes10c185.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3146314.3%66 W · 397 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c175.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.795612.5%7 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c35…afa8backed No77c174.66$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b97…36b7backed Yes64c172.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108772.4%63 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x056c…5066backed Yes17c161.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ae…ae32backed Yes27c157.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3110721.5%23 W · 84 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961b…4210backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…7601backed Yes33c149.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes28c147.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.42010%2 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-83.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d1f1backed Yes21c145.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Yes21c136.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.217441.4%72 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5f…0bfcbacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafc6…0454backed No15c135.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.481323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes27c135.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9526350.2%132 W · 131 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1033…c765backed No74c135.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd3…c80fbacked No15c130.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.95728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316d…ef66backed Yes70c128.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.95850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes24c128.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ef…a3adbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No60c118.63$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7829024.1%70 W · 220 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2aa…21e2backed Yes21c118.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984912.2%6 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf602…964ebacked No79c101.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27b…3966backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efd…9e75backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc8…1f80backed No77c97.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No66c94.54$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4521639.4%85 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36fa…1125backed Yes29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc121…e0c3backed Yes35c85.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No12c83.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6331229.8%93 W · 219 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes30c82.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ac…bd9fbacked No15c80$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685710.5%6 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes16c71.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.443815.8%6 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Yes29c70.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1134…90f1backed No70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a0…60d2backed Yes34c69.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f1…9f1cbacked Yes37c69.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No70c68.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.846927.5%19 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7463…972dbacked No79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-23.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf702…0bbabacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203417.6%6 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…0811backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes51c58.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.172055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e2…92b9backed Yes19c54.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d52…f88abacked No80c53.91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No56c51.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e0…a8d4backed Yes27c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.773116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47a5…6834backed No79c50.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1181…a251backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe381…3ba9backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.525125.5%64 W · 187 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…0f16backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb0…5a98backed No70c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eee…74e8backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eae…362ebacked Yes32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429d…b0f7backed No69c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes32c36.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9711032.7%36 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f87…6458backed No70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed Yes50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4262…abaabacked No67c31.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf19f…f313backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Yes40c27.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b4…9518backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x049c…a244backed Yes58c23.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c8…e944backed Yes66c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c87…d99abacked No73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.