Movies · resolved market
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8b314658d76776ff06317a4c27ffaa2df8c812d610917e82dea7eae2b6da662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 48c | 2,015$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.23 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 61c | 1,952$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.62 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 60c | 1,628$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.81 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 59c | 1,268$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.86 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,236$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.8 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 49c | 1,174$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.27 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 46c | 1,130$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.61 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 993.06$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.78 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 29c | 925.36$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.01 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 59c | 778$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 11c | 759.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…1535backed Yes | 39c | 751.35$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 62c | 750$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 40c | 710.74$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 45c | 678.3$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.3 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 49c | 675.28$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.64 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 75c | 664.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 60c | 658.8$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 40c | 581.57$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 536.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 77c | 500.08$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 34c | 500$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 36c | 485$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 52c | 483.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 40c | 483.14$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 37c | 478.68$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 39c | 474.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 412.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 58c | 383.03$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 56c | 360.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 55c | 346.07$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 45c | 324.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 317.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 50c | 308.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…e32abacked Yes | 57c | 307$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 10c | 291.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 65c | 275.44$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 39c | 274$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 65c | 250.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed Yes | 57c | 247$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 52c | 242.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 44c | 236.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 232.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…7195backed Yes | 44c | 225.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 51c | 224.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…4403backed Yes | 50c | 218.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 213$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 12c | 208.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 208.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea03backed Yes | 65c | 201.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 46c | 183.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 37c | 173$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887c…9841backed Yes | 65c | 165.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 24c | 153.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…b9e0backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 42c | 147.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 29c | 142.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 63c | 140.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…c814backed Yes | 52c | 134.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 79c | 124.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 30c | 120.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 42c | 118.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 17c | 117.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 117$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…f0f0backed Yes | 56c | 114.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…f2e5backed Yes | 56c | 107.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 52c | 107.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 40c | 95.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 63c | 89.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…3bb6backed Yes | 66c | 89.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…aa91backed No | 29c | 88.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 48c | 84.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…4563backed Yes | 79c | 81.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…dd96backed No | 29c | 81.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed Yes | 34c | 77.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 30c | 72.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…cfb2backed Yes | 49c | 70.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 62c | 68.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 29c | 66.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…d271backed Yes | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 48c | 63.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 40c | 63.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…ec61backed Yes | 60c | 51.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 37c | 48.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 56c | 43.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…b11fbacked Yes | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…18c5backed Yes | 45c | 42.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 51c | 40.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Yes | 50c | 40.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…d3d9backed Yes | 74c | 39.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 55c | 38.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 61c | 38.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?this page
- Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?No won
- Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?No won
- Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?No won
- Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.