Movies · resolved market
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b77c4fb9c47ea391aa9554414b0e33acb107e455893038155cd3952499f639f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 64c | 4,082$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.82 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 19c | 3,157$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.56 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 19c | 3,056$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 66c | 1,820$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.3 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 18c | 1,495$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 2c | 1,149$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…9823backed Yes | 60c | 861.26$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 75c | 790.83$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed No | 34c | 724.16$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.81 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 64c | 717.69$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.37 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 46c | 574.05$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked No | 8c | 545.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 8c | 544.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 36c | 521.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 41c | 483.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 8c | 454$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 64c | 443.93$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.09 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 428.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 59c | 395.89$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…414fbacked No | 30c | 367.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 65c | 358.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 20c | 352.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 62c | 304.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 58c | 287.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 33c | 263.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…71f0backed Yes | 69c | 262.8$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 42c | 260$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 57c | 253.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…7195backed Yes | 74c | 248.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9df1…7776backed No | 36c | 225$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…cd68backed Yes | 57c | 222.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 221.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…fd66backed No | 30c | 196.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 29c | 196.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 19c | 170$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…cd39backed No | 28c | 166.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed No | 25c | 158.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed No | 41c | 156.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 64c | 144.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…8a17backed Yes | 70c | 138.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed Yes | 74c | 132.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Yes | 55c | 129.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Yes | 73c | 117.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cd…4694backed No | 34c | 115.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 71c | 111.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 71c | 109.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…6555backed Yes | 47c | 106.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa22…5e49backed Yes | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 61c | 100.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 26c | 100.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…a252backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 28c | 97.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 24c | 88.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…b3b2backed Yes | 77c | 84.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…fdf2backed No | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…c533backed Yes | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 36c | 77.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f3…8249backed Yes | 66c | 72.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…dcbbbacked No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 49c | 66.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 54c | 61.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Yes | 75c | 58.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 76c | 50.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed No | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…b759backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…1f78backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…36cabacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…8485backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…08d0backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…fb0bbacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…083ebacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…1829backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…11f9backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed No | 38c | 49.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked No | 38c | 48.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96e…a9c4backed Yes | 53c | 46.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e57…6d5cbacked No | 29c | 41.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 38.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 71c | 38.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…702dbacked Yes | 58c | 33.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 52c | 32.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…6e9dbacked Yes | 50c | 28.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6716…95cdbacked Yes | 66c | 24.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked Yes | 66c | 15.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?this page
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?No won
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?No won
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?No won
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.