Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6238ffcc5672cfe1f8cf4afa8c269dabda5b44f1ad9e6148f2769de63a5b160

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $797,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $440,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,610 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	24,777$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.11	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	16,182$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.93	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	14,730$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.24	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	9c	13,484$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.36	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	13c	12,270$1,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,654.28	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed Yes	11c	11,059$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.55	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	10,093$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.37	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	4c	9,907$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.04	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	4c	9,551$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.7	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	8,809$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.06	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	8,612$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	5c	8,008$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.8	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaed4…09afbacked Yes	0c	7,811$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	3cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	14c	6,829$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.34	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	6,024$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.12	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	5,397$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.76	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	5,253$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.12	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	5,053$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.08	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	13c	5,005$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.41	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	4,840$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	3c	4,598$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.77	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	4,489$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.52	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	12c	4,391$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.97	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	7c	4,380$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.51	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,347$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	4,300$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.6	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	9c	4,257$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.81	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	1c	4,139$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	3,998$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.74	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	3,820$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	3,800$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.24	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	3,774$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	19c	3,538$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.71	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	3,401$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.96	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	1c	3,195$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	3,156$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed Yes	5c	2,905$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.04	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	17c	2,900$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.6	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	2,868$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.5	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	3c	2,803$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.79	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	8c	2,767$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.29	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	11c	2,650$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.57	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	2,605$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.6	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	2,580$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.58	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	19c	2,445$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.84	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	20c	2,237$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.16	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	4c	2,232$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.8	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	2,040$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.22	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ad…32e4backed Yes	1c	2,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	132	29.5%39 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	2,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	9c	1,989$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.67	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	1,980$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.34	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	12c	1,942$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.22	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	20c	1,906$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.38	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb845…a589backed Yes	13c	1,890$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.83	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,721$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	23c	1,614$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.15	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	24c	1,606$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.17	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	3c	1,602$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.54	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	9c	1,543$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.96	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	1,534$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.96	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	3c	1,531$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,441$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa52…780dbacked Yes	1c	1,393$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes	4c	1,383$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	1c	1,310$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…5815backed Yes	1c	1,289$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	1,257$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.82	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	17c	1,252$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.7	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	3c	1,248$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	6c	1,230$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.68	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977b…40f6backed Yes	4c	1,220$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.86	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347e…4d06backed Yes	15c	1,165$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.2	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	2c	1,165$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.24	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	3c	1,149$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.03	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	3c	1,146$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a4…d091backed Yes	6c	1,078$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.17	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+254.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	4c	1,055$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.32	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	12c	1,050$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.06	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	3c	999.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.11	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	7c	953.63$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.12	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	21c	953.26$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.67	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70f1…d1bfbacked Yes	2c	925.24$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	900$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	4c	897.03$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3a5…1e04backed Yes	2c	871.72$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed Yes	17c	837.76$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.93	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	810.07$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.38	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	14c	783.51$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.3	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	6c	747.17$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.67	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	8c	724.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.87	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	20c	712.3$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.54	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	14c	693.76$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.73	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e45…9e45backed Yes	18c	690.68$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.46	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	14c	670.22$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.36	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	21c	659$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.84	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	15c	654.48$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.87	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event