Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bab42b0d94075979419d9a75fcfd62a5408ef0e1943b527323ee947c8bcd96f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,031,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $612,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,883 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	1c	29,182$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.68	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	17,541$2,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,411.55	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	25c	16,639$4,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,093.34	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	20c	14,840$2,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,952.94	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	14,036$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	1c	13,475$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.66	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes	0c	13,179$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	47	0%0 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…613cbacked Yes	0c	12,534$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	5cpaid	+400%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes	0c	12,162$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	54	0%0 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	12,022$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5084…fb85backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	0%0 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	4c	10,262$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.62	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…358bbacked Yes	1c	10,037$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe123…e140backed Yes	0c	9,690$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	27c	8,970$2,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,401.12	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	1c	8,321$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.72	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	73c	8,241$5,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,251.56	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	42c	6,919$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,879.88	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	24c	6,628$1,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,619.1	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	5,965$1,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,322.37	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	13c	5,242$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.52	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	2c	4,938$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.51	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	8c	4,915$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.84	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	4,797$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.42	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	4,738$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.83	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	19c	4,580$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.6	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	20c	4,429$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.1	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	3c	4,411$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.48	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	4,364$3,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,287.03	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	4,032$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.97	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	18c	3,999$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	16c	3,998$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.23	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	32c	3,934$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,258.66	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8785…df3fbacked Yes	0c	3,846$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.48per pick	2cpaid	+1,188.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	15c	3,827$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.47	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	22c	3,412$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.79	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	21c	3,357$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.97	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	3,330$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	22c	3,228$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.05	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb313…1ce7backed Yes	22c	3,203$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.02	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	3,199$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.12	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	75c	3,175$2,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.69	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	20c	3,162$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.11	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	11c	3,154$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.08	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	23c	2,997$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.09	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed No	79c	2,679$2,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.04	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	63c	2,611$1,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.03	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	2,593$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.48	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	18c	2,534$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.42	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	8c	2,352$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.41	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed No	73c	2,306$1,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.73	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	41c	2,279$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.3	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	22c	2,137$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.49	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b1…4e80backed Yes	27c	2,130$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	20c	2,119$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.49	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74e2…4bb3backed Yes	2c	2,059$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.07	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	26c	2,041$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.3	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	19c	2,019$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.81	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	24c	2,012$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.84	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	15c	1,970$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.38	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	1,948$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.15	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	25c	1,930$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.75	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed Yes	3c	1,889$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	20c	1,876$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.52	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	24c	1,874$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.18	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	1,790$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	19c	1,789$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.99	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…1729backed Yes	1c	1,767$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	9c	1,725$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.89	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ad…da98backed Yes	22c	1,698$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.51	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-61%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	37c	1,593$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.37	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	13c	1,567$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.16	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	3c	1,561$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.74	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	21c	1,555$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.01	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	1,521$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.86	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	21c	1,498$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.8	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	23c	1,455$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.2	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	15c	1,441$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.97	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	5c	1,407$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.88	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	12c	1,369$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.58	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…5198backed Yes	8c	1,300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	5c	1,295$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.45	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Yes	34c	1,263$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.13	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	1,250$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.4	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	23c	1,249$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.81	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	1,207$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.66	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ad…32e4backed Yes	7c	1,202$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.66	132	29.5%39 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	25c	1,200$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8914…36d5backed Yes	2c	1,199$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	76c	1,195$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.48	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e27…ca89backed Yes	24c	1,187$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.87	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	29c	1,173$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.95	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	26c	1,152$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.51	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	6c	1,150$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	109	11.9%13 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	65c	1,141$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.82	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	23c	1,127$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.84	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	24c	1,106$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.22	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event