Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfdfb349ae16ab2a531d3c3a23692f1911bc228127669a03cccd44c2a47fa5ee

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,984,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,433,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,984,527 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 778 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	9c	52,768$4,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,831.39	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…1c4abacked No	0c	48,503$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.02	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	13c	35,657$4,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,068.3	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed Yes	17c	33,296$5,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,591.1	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	51c	31,592$16,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,044.14	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	15c	31,555$4,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,890.14	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	14c	23,809$3,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,557.29	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	5c	19,769$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,694.82	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	15c	17,475$2,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,919.43	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	16,656$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,854.19	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	5c	16,224$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,494.05	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	32c	14,912$4,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,181.06	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	14,628$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,300.36	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	23c	14,040$3,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,875.93	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	22c	12,842$2,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,031.52	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	7c	12,476$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,565.45	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	12,076$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,528.75	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	26c	12,066$3,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,907.66	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	12,050$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,589.69	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Yes	12c	12,035$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,574.44	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	15c	11,555$1,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,872.53	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed Yes	18c	10,767$1,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,788.76	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	8c	9,568$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,798.54	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	8c	9,195$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,487.85	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	4c	8,557$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,201.65	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	14c	8,360$1,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,221.54	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	15c	8,180$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,939	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	5c	8,043$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,670.45	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	14c	7,888$1,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,801.99	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	12c	7,826$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,889.34	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	7,705$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,541.02	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	18c	7,163$1,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,900.07	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	6,967$5,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,226.47	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	6,656$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,797.48	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	16c	6,110$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,141.07	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	8c	6,031$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,577.06	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	3c	5,919$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,754.23	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	2c	5,602$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,509.06	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	19c	5,409$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,381.51	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	26c	5,253$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,863.75	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…cff9backed Yes	4c	5,092$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,869.13	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	11c	5,067$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,501.1	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	12c	5,002$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,387.88	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1dc…581abacked Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,949.99	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.72per pick	28cpaid	+4,990.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	19c	4,979$922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,057.09	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	7c	4,660$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,329.77	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x513d…f7babacked Yes	7c	4,608$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,297.79	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	+111.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	12c	4,532$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,007.95	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	10c	4,513$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,039.15	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	4,490$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,918.47	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	31c	4,388$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,047.58	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	49c	4,296$2,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,190.23	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes	5c	4,271$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,047.16	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	16c	4,263$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,597	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	41c	4,228$1,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,513.12	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	9c	3,971$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,609.46	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	19c	3,858$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,110.13	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes	25c	3,849$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,871.02	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a4…d091backed Yes	2c	3,700$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,640.38	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+254.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc447…54f5backed Yes	19c	3,566$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.31	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	3,540$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,336.01	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ad…32e4backed Yes	3c	3,519$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,399.53	132	29.5%39 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	1c	3,500$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,471.94	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb6…b279backed Yes	2c	3,485$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,408.91	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	14cpaid	+251.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	23c	3,399$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,615.63	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	4c	3,303$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,183.68	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	7c	3,210$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,996.01	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	4c	3,158$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,016.86	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	9c	3,147$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,868.15	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	22c	3,143$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,451.55	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	3,124$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,834.06	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	7c	3,097$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,875.28	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	3,078$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,788.97	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	11c	3,031$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,697.63	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5da…ff1dbacked Yes	11c	3,000$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,665.5	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	10c	2,938$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,645.98	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	8c	2,935$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,706.01	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,903$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,563.9	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	1c	2,885$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,851.16	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	29c	2,835$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,009.95	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	16c	2,784$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,325.58	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	7c	2,756$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,557.47	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	5c	2,705$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,568.16	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	7c	2,603$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,427.31	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	7c	2,580$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,388.97	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	6c	2,548$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,402.83	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37b…2bcabacked Yes	10c	2,526$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,261.25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	12c	2,484$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,186.32	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	55c	2,480$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.41	177	17.5%31 W · 146 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x96f9…0c3bbacked Yes	20c	2,435$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,936.34	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	56c	2,426$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,367.62	287	23.7%68 W · 219 L	-46.5wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-63%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	17c	2,383$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,969.77	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	79c	2,372$1,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,864.02	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	21c	2,354$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,862.01	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	12c	2,305$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,038.92	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x960b…9303backed Yes	18c	2,201$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,804.53	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…8174backed Yes	7c	2,172$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,024.42	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe123…e140backed Yes	4c	2,171$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080.77	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a6…e544backed Yes	45c	2,100$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,146.97	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	10c	2,077$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,879.49	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event