Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x968c348c9207b9bc8bbf4e08ded41239a65dd57b5ae37fa191d17d8d052d5ed5

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,260,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $727,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,260,375 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	87,191$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,723.19	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	31,850$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.47	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	0c	30,167$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	0c	19,557$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.11	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	9c	17,790$1,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,678.99	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa376…c17dbacked Yes	0c	17,020$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c1…194bbacked Yes	0c	16,305$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	19c	16,077$3,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,019.18	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed Yes	19c	15,345$2,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,937.91	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	14,953$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.63	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	12,728$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.26	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	0c	12,002$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	74c	11,948$8,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,153.48	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	11,242$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.28	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	0c	11,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	10,800$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	9c	10,389$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.35	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed7c…9400backed Yes	0c	10,200$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	11c	9,942$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.86	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	7c	9,401$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.95	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb845…a589backed Yes	25c	7,609$1,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.32	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	6c	7,597$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.08	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	3c	7,520$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.66	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	13c	7,142$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.57	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	19c	7,074$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.57	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	28c	6,825$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,891.67	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	8c	5,869$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.6	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	7c	5,743$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.86	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	34c	5,661$1,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,926.84	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	4c	5,466$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.95	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	35c	5,460$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890.39	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f7…4ae3backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+6.1wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+152.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	2c	4,821$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.13	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed Yes	19c	4,420$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.73	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	1c	4,216$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.05	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	12c	4,156$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.73	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	30c	4,104$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,216.78	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	4,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	3,881$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.45	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	22c	3,836$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.03	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	3,609$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.4	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	3,492$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	3,439$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,380$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	3,249$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.47	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	8c	3,240$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.8	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	17c	3,080$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.1	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	34c	3,067$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.92	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e8…db25backed Yes	7c	3,017$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.29	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	3,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	2,992$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.69	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	21c	2,992$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.01	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2339…2d36backed Yes	31c	2,951$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	2,915$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.22	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	2,878$2,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.78	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	12c	2,832$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.3	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	6c	2,818$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.04	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	2,806$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.05	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	29c	2,806$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.47	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	29c	2,794$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.36	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe123…e140backed Yes	1c	2,728$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.07	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	15c	2,587$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.54	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	20c	2,564$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed Yes	8c	2,561$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.99	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	30c	2,462$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.87	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	77c	2,431$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.06	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	39c	2,408$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.29	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	11c	2,097$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.11	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	2,092$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.42	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	12c	2,087$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.15	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	68c	2,080$1,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.77	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	21c	2,045$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.79	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	72c	2,016$1,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.71	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	2c	2,000$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb087…6658backed Yes	35c	2,000$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,983$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.68	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,933$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.96	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	1,929$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	39c	1,925$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.34	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c4…b278backed Yes	2c	1,895$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	8c	1,812$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.3	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe589…0666backed Yes	1c	1,763$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…ac16backed Yes	1c	1,741$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.52	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	15c	1,700$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.26	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7954backed No	77c	1,664$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.03	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	66cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	14c	1,652$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.85	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	9c	1,633$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.5	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	24c	1,632$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.6	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	21c	1,592$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.72	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	6c	1,585$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.08	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	1,556$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.86	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	23c	1,541$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.06	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	31c	1,529$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.95	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	6c	1,516$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.96	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event